Zain Saudi narrows losses by 24% to SAR 972 mln in FY15

31/12/2015 Argaam Exclusive

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Mobile Telecommunication Company Saudi Arabia (ZAIN KSA)

 

Zain Saudi, the kingdom’s third largest mobile operator, narrowed net losses by 23.5 percent year-on-year (YoY) to SAR 972 million for the 2015 fiscal year, from SAR 1.27 billion a year earlier on the back of a 23 percent increase in gross profit to SAR 3.9 million, its highest since its start, and a higher gross profit margin.

 

Increased revenue from growing demand for its services and better cost management also helped in cutting annual losses. 



Financials (M)

Item 2014 2015 Change‬
Revenues 6,170.27 6,741.38 9.3 %
Gross Income 3,222.65 3,951.10 22.6 %
Operating Income (669.09) (141.42) 78.9 %
Net Income (1269.57) (971.95) 23.4 %
Average Shares 573.22 573.22 0.0 %
EPS (Riyals) (2.21) (1.70) 23.4 %

 

In Q415, Zain’s losses eased by 4.9 percent YoY to SAR 291 million. Net losses, however, widened by 31 percent from SAR 223 million in Q315. The telco said lower quarterly losses were backed by a 30 percent rise YoY in gross profit, which pushed margins up to 64 percent.

Its losses increased quarter-on-quarter due to higher operating expenses, depreciation, and amortization costs.

 

Fourth-quarter earnings before interest, taxes, zakat, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) jumped 47 percent YoY, implying a higher margin of 24 percent YoY, thanks to the telco’s successful turnaround strategy, higher sales, and better cost optimization.

 

Zain’s subscriber base grew significantly by 28 percent YoY to 12.4 million customers by the end of Q415, compared with 9.7 million users in the same quarter of 2014.

 



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q4 2014 Q4 2015 Change‬
Revenues 1,556.46 1,672.03 7.4 %
Gross Income 816.27 1,065.09 30.5 %
Operating Income (187.47) (82.42) 56.0 %
Net Income (306.46) (291.11) 5.0 %
Average Shares 573.22 573.22 0.0 %
EPS (Riyals) (0.53) (0.51) 5.0 %


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Net Income Change EPS(Riyal)
Q1 2006 - - - - - - -
Q2 2006 - - - - - - -
Q3 2006 - - - - - - -
Q4 2006 - - - - - - -
Q1 2007 - - - - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - - (543.59) - (2.47)
Q2 2008 - - - - (153.65) - (0.70)
Q3 2008 80.80 - (14.72) - (649.04) - (2.95)
Q4 2008 424.40 - 31.18 - (931.90) - (4.23)
Q1 2009 581.67 - 145.98 - (765.37) (40.8 %) (3.47)
Q2 2009 701.52 - 132.59 - (856.66) (457.5 %) (3.89)
Q3 2009 825.49 921.7 % 242.93 1750.0 % (819.73) (26.3 %) (3.72)
Q4 2009 895.38 111.0 % 355.53 1040.2 % (657.59) 29.4 % (2.99)
Q1 2010 1,094.23 88.1 % 384.34 163.3 % (662.45) 13.4 % (3.01)
Q2 2010 1,450.41 106.8 % 608.03 358.6 % (631.59) 26.3 % (2.87)
Q3 2010 1,661.95 101.3 % 712.13 193.1 % (543.79) 33.7 % (2.47)
Q4 2010 1,727.78 93.0 % 825.94 132.3 % (520.61) 20.8 % (2.36)
Q1 2011 1,484.22 35.6 % 716.02 86.3 % (531.75) 19.7 % (2.41)
Q2 2011 1,704.65 17.5 % 923.22 51.8 % (448.18) 29.0 % (2.03)
Q3 2011 1,794.81 8.0 % 870.12 22.2 % (483.81) 11.0 % (2.20)
Q4 2011 1,715.39 (0.7 %) 690.82 (16.4 %) (461.46) 11.4 % (2.09)
Q1 2012 1,521.59 2.5 % 702.20 (1.9 %) (419.99) 21.0 % (1.91)
Q2 2012 1,629.02 (4.4 %) 707.12 (23.4 %) (393.64) 12.2 % (1.79)
Q3 2012 1,529.90 (14.8 %) 711.62 (18.2 %) (493.00) (1.9 %) (0.86)
Q4 2012 1,490.16 (13.1 %) 738.98 7.0 % (442.78) 4.0 % (0.77)
Q1 2013 1,719.40 13.0 % 776.23 10.5 % (397.95) 5.2 % (0.69)
Q2 2013 1,706.35 4.7 % 830.76 17.5 % (370.41) 5.9 % (0.65)
Q3 2013 1,573.32 2.8 % 760.98 6.9 % (420.81) 14.6 % (0.73)
Q4 2013 1,523.52 2.2 % 766.88 3.8 % (462.30) (4.4 %) (0.81)
Q1 2014 1,545.77 (10.1 %) 798.66 2.9 % (318.36) 20.0 % (0.56)
Q2 2014 1,567.13 (8.2 %) 797.05 (4.1 %) (328.94) 11.2 % (0.57)
Q3 2014 1,553.00 (1.3 %) 810.67 6.5 % (315.81) 25.0 % (0.55)
Q4 2014 1,556.46 2.2 % 816.27 6.4 % (306.46) 33.7 % (0.53)
Q1 2015 1,656.79 7.2 % 874.43 9.5 % (256.72) 19.4 % (0.45)
Q2 2015 1,648.83 5.2 % 949.40 19.1 % (201.16) 38.8 % (0.35)
Q3 2015 1,763.73 13.6 % 1,062.18 31.0 % (222.95) 29.4 % (0.39)
Q4 2015 1,672.03 7.4 % 1,065.09 30.5 % (291.11) 5.0 % (0.51)
2015 6,741.38 9.3 % 3,951.10 22.6 % (971.95) 23.4 % (1.70)

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2006 - - -
Q2 2006 - - -
Q3 2006 - - -
Q4 2006 - - -
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 16.50 % (92.47 %) (179.10 %)
Q3 2009 21.82 % (58.30 %) (133.18 %)
Q4 2009 29.19 % (35.71 %) (103.17 %)
Q1 2010 31.72 % (23.12 %) (85.21 %)
Q2 2010 37.30 % (8.97 %) (64.97 %)
Q3 2010 40.38 % 1.01 % (48.91 %)
Q4 2010 42.64 % 5.57 % (39.74 %)
Q1 2011 45.26 % 8.77 % (35.22 %)
Q2 2011 48.30 % 11.75 % (31.08 %)
Q3 2011 49.70 % 12.64 % (29.57 %)
Q4 2011 47.77 % 13.42 % (28.74 %)
Q1 2012 47.30 % 14.66 % (26.92 %)
Q2 2012 44.59 % 14.89 % (26.41 %)
Q3 2012 43.96 % 14.62 % (27.64 %)
Q4 2012 46.35 % 14.24 % (28.35 %)
Q1 2013 46.07 % 13.24 % (27.12 %)
Q2 2013 47.44 % 12.73 % (26.44 %)
Q3 2013 47.88 % 13.68 % (25.15 %)
Q4 2013 48.06 % 13.65 % (25.32 %)
Q1 2014 49.73 % 15.48 % (24.76 %)
Q2 2014 50.30 % 15.95 % (24.65 %)
Q3 2014 51.27 % 15.29 % (24.40 %)
Q4 2014 51.79 % 15.50 % (22.58 %)
Q1 2015 52.08 % 15.99 % (21.21 %)
Q2 2015 53.79 % 18.43 % (18.95 %)
Q3 2015 55.88 % 21.85 % (15.66 %)
Q4 2015 58.61 % 24.16 % (14.42 %)
2015 58.61 % 24.16 % (14.42 %)


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2006 - - - -
Q2 2006 - - - -
Q3 2006 - - - -
Q4 2006 - - - -
Q1 2007 - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - -
Q1 2008 220.28 - - 61.09
Q2 2008 220.28 - - 60.39
Q3 2008 220.28 - - 57.44
Q4 2008 220.28 (10.34) (8.44) 53.21
Q1 2009 220.28 (11.35) (11.35) 49.74
Q2 2009 220.28 (14.54) (14.54) 45.85
Q3 2009 220.28 (15.32) (15.32) 42.13
Q4 2009 220.28 (14.07) (14.07) 39.14
Q1 2010 220.28 (13.60) (13.60) 36.14
Q2 2010 220.28 (12.58) (12.58) 33.27
Q3 2010 220.28 (11.33) (11.33) 29.90
Q4 2010 220.28 (10.71) (10.71) 27.83
Q1 2011 220.28 (10.11) (10.11) 25.58
Q2 2011 220.28 (9.28) (9.28) 23.62
Q3 2011 220.28 (9.01) (9.01) 21.58
Q4 2011 220.28 (8.74) (8.74) 19.49
Q1 2012 220.28 (8.23) (8.23) 17.79
Q2 2012 220.28 (7.98) (7.98) 16.00
Q3 2012 573.22 (3.08) (3.08) 15.53
Q4 2012 573.22 (3.05) (3.05) 14.74
Q1 2013 573.22 (3.01) (3.01) 14.05
Q2 2013 573.22 (2.97) (2.97) 13.40
Q3 2013 573.22 (2.85) (2.85) 12.67
Q4 2013 573.22 (2.88) (2.88) 11.79
Q1 2014 573.22 (2.74) (2.74) 11.22
Q2 2014 573.22 (2.67) (2.67) 10.60
Q3 2014 573.22 (2.49) (2.63) 10.10
Q4 2014 573.22 (2.21) (2.45) 9.53
Q1 2015 573.22 (2.11) (2.34) 9.04
Q2 2015 573.22 (1.88) (2.12) 8.71
Q3 2015 573.22 (1.72) (1.81) 8.31
Q4 2015 573.22 (1.70) (1.70) 7.94

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2006 - - -
Q2 2006 - - -
Q3 2006 - - -
Q4 2006 - - -
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - 4.80
Q2 2008 - - 6.26
Q3 2008 - - 5.04
Q4 2008 NEG NEG 3.09
Q1 2009 NEG NEG 3.20
Q2 2009 NEG NEG 3.95
Q3 2009 NEG NEG 3.99
Q4 2009 NEG NEG 4.00
Q1 2010 NEG NEG 4.16
Q2 2010 NEG NEG 3.92
Q3 2010 NEG NEG 4.08
Q4 2010 NEG NEG 4.30
Q1 2011 NEG NEG 4.16
Q2 2011 NEG NEG 4.51
Q3 2011 NEG NEG 4.47
Q4 2011 NEG NEG 4.39
Q1 2012 NEG NEG 9.41
Q2 2012 NEG NEG 7.52
Q3 2012 NEG NEG 1.95
Q4 2012 NEG NEG 1.58
Q1 2013 NEG NEG 1.71
Q2 2013 NEG NEG 2.18
Q3 2013 NEG NEG 2.22
Q4 2013 NEG NEG 2.33
Q1 2014 NEG NEG 2.73
Q2 2014 NEG NEG 2.76
Q3 2014 NEG NEG 3.12
Q4 2014 NEG NEG 2.00
Q1 2015 NEG NEG 1.90
Q2 2015 NEG NEG 2.09
Q3 2015 NEG NEG 1.75
Q4 2015 NEG NEG 1.68

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q4 2015 (e) Q4 2015 (a) Change‬
Average (234.90) (291.11) (23.9 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q4 2015 (e) Q4 2015 (a) Change
SNB Capital (247.00) (291.11) (17.9) %
Alistithmar Capital (232.70) (291.11) (25.1) %
Albilad Capital (225.00) (291.11) (29.4) %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 10,389.32
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 17,554.33
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 898.73
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 0.47
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 11.86
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) Neg
P/E (TTM) 24.66
Price/book 0.97
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 1.5
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 3.9

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