Saudi Kayan swings to net profit in 9M 2016

13/10/2016 Argaam Exclusive

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Share Price

Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Co. (SAUDI KAYAN)

 

Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Co., which is 35 percent owned by SABIC, swung to a net profit of SAR 31.1 million for the first nine months of 2016, compared to a net loss of SAR 618.9 million in the same period last year. The nine-month profit was bolstered by higher sales volumes, lower feedstock costs and improved operational performance.



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2015 9m 2016 Change‬
Revenues 6,096.36 6,160.30 1.0 %
Gross Income 159.17 1,273.37 700.0 %
Operating Income (118.01) 708.73 700.6 %
Net Income (618.87) 60.48 109.8 %
Average Shares 1,500.00 1,500.00 -
EPS (Riyals) (0.41) 0.04 109.8 %

The company also made a SAR 156.3 million net profit in the third quarter, compared with a net loss of SAR 13.8 million in Q3-2015 on lower feedstock prices, despite a decline in selling prices of most products. Profit for the period was 72 percent higher compared with the previous quarter.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Change‬
Revenues 2,194.63 2,313.08 5.4 %
Gross Income 269.19 579.95 115.4 %
Operating Income 174.88 385.77 120.6 %
Net Income (13.81) 158.16 1245.6 %
Average Shares 1,500.00 1,500.00 -
EPS (Riyals) (0.01) 0.11 1245.6 %


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Net Income Change EPS(Riyal)
Q1 2007 - - - - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - - 95.64 - 0.06
Q2 2008 - - - - 59.69 - 0.04
Q3 2008 - - - - 24.61 - 0.02
Q4 2008 - - - - (8.37) - (0.01)
Q1 2009 - - - - (6.27) (106.6 %) 0.00
Q2 2009 - - - - (6.49) (110.9 %) 0.00
Q3 2009 - - - - (3.72) (115.1 %) 0.00
Q4 2009 - - - - (0.44) 94.7 % 0.00
Q1 2010 - - - - (3.77) 39.8 % 0.00
Q2 2010 - - - - (1.80) 72.3 % 0.00
Q3 2010 - - - - (5.07) (36.1 %) 0.00
Q4 2010 - - - - (3.98) (800.2 %) 0.00
Q1 2011 - - - - (8.33) (121.1 %) (0.01)
Q2 2011 - - - - (16.01) (791.4 %) (0.01)
Q3 2011 - - - - (35.16) (593.7 %) (0.02)
Q4 2011 2,403.41 - 32.44 - (190.75) (4,693.9 %) (0.13)
Q1 2012 2,043.31 - 132.23 - (71.12) (753.5 %) (0.05)
Q2 2012 2,316.89 - (72.29) - (328.32) (1,950.7 %) (0.22)
Q3 2012 2,196.23 - 52.68 - (178.37) (407.3 %) (0.12)
Q4 2012 2,925.81 21.7 % 38.99 20.2 % (194.45) (1.9 %) (0.13)
Q1 2013 2,079.89 1.8 % 58.73 (55.6 %) (154.87) (117.8 %) (0.10)
Q2 2013 2,288.05 (1.2 %) (20.14) 72.1 % (238.24) 27.4 % (0.16)
Q3 2013 3,052.20 39.0 % 304.95 478.9 % 43.27 124.3 % 0.03
Q4 2013 2,932.52 0.2 % 264.49 578.4 % 3.42 101.8 % 0.00
Q1 2014 2,909.36 39.9 % 260.96 344.4 % 9.94 106.4 % 0.01
Q2 2014 2,965.26 29.6 % 126.54 728.2 % (133.09) 44.1 % (0.09)
Q3 2014 3,235.38 6.0 % 317.95 4.3 % 66.91 54.6 % 0.04
Q4 2014 2,526.04 (13.9 %) 267.87 1.3 % 11.78 244.7 % 0.01
Q1 2015 1,752.65 (39.8 %) (367.86) (241.0 %) (591.64) (6052.2 %) (0.39)
Q2 2015 2,149.08 (27.5 %) 257.85 103.8 % (13.42) 89.9 % (0.01)
Q3 2015 2,194.63 (32.2 %) 269.19 (15.3 %) (13.81) (120.6 %) (0.01)
Q4 2015 1,879.36 (25.6 %) (368.21) (237.5 %) (624.14) (5397.8 %) (0.42)
Q1 2016 1,692.59 (3.4 %) 185.21 150.3 % (194.99) 67.0 % (0.13)
Q2 2016 2,154.63 0.3 % 508.21 97.1 % 97.31 825.1 % 0.06
Q3 2016 2,313.08 5.4 % 579.95 115.4 % 158.16 1245.6 % 0.11

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 - - -
Q4 2009 - - -
Q1 2010 - - -
Q2 2010 - - -
Q3 2010 - - -
Q4 2010 - - -
Q1 2011 - - -
Q2 2011 - - -
Q3 2011 - - -
Q4 2011 1.35 % 16.92 % (9.96 %)
Q1 2012 3.70 % 21.55 % (6.79 %)
Q2 2012 1.37 % 19.05 % (9.08 %)
Q3 2012 1.62 % 19.64 % (8.46 %)
Q4 2012 1.60 % 19.88 % (8.14 %)
Q1 2013 0.82 % 19.41 % (8.99 %)
Q2 2013 1.37 % 23.60 % (8.07 %)
Q3 2013 3.70 % 25.88 % (5.26 %)
Q4 2013 5.87 % 24.25 % (3.35 %)
Q1 2014 7.25 % 24.70 % (1.62 %)
Q2 2014 8.07 % 22.57 % (0.64 %)
Q3 2014 8.05 % 21.45 % (0.44 %)
Q4 2014 8.36 % 25.33 % (0.38 %)
Q1 2015 3.29 % 22.85 % (6.16 %)
Q2 2015 4.92 % 26.19 % (5.45 %)
Q3 2015 4.95 % 28.93 % (7.04 %)
Q4 2015 (2.62 %) 23.62 % (15.58 %)
Q1 2016 4.35 % 28.35 % (10.41 %)
Q2 2016 7.50 % 29.78 % (8.92 %)
Q3 2016 11.26 % 31.82 % (6.65 %)


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2007 - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - -
Q1 2008 1,500.00 - - 10.28
Q2 2008 1,500.00 - - 10.32
Q3 2008 1,500.00 - - 10.33
Q4 2008 1,500.00 0.11 0.12 10.33
Q1 2009 1,500.00 0.05 0.05 10.33
Q2 2009 1,500.00 0.00 0.02 10.32
Q3 2009 1,500.00 (0.02) 0.00 10.32
Q4 2009 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.32
Q1 2010 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.32
Q2 2010 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.31
Q3 2010 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.31
Q4 2010 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.31
Q1 2011 1,500.00 (0.01) (0.01) 10.30
Q2 2011 1,500.00 (0.02) (0.02) 10.29
Q3 2011 1,500.00 (0.04) (0.04) 10.27
Q4 2011 1,500.00 (0.17) (0.16) 10.14
Q1 2012 1,500.00 (0.21) (0.20) 10.09
Q2 2012 1,500.00 (0.42) (0.41) 9.88
Q3 2012 1,500.00 (0.51) (0.51) 9.76
Q4 2012 1,500.00 (0.51) (0.51) 9.63
Q1 2013 1,500.00 (0.57) (0.57) 9.52
Q2 2013 1,500.00 (0.51) (0.51) 9.36
Q3 2013 1,500.00 (0.36) (0.36) 9.39
Q4 2013 1,500.00 (0.23) (0.23) 9.40
Q1 2014 1,500.00 (0.12) (0.12) 9.40
Q2 2014 1,500.00 (0.05) (0.05) 9.31
Q3 2014 1,500.00 (0.04) (0.04) 9.36
Q4 2014 1,500.00 (0.03) (0.03) 9.37
Q1 2015 1,500.00 (0.43) (0.43) 8.97
Q2 2015 1,500.00 (0.35) (0.35) 8.96
Q3 2015 1,500.00 (0.40) (0.40) 8.95
Q4 2015 1,500.00 (0.83) (0.83) 8.54
Q1 2016 1,500.00 (0.56) (0.55) 8.58
Q2 2016 1,500.00 (0.49) (0.47) 8.45
Q3 2016 1,500.00 (0.38) (0.36) 8.56

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - 2.36
Q2 2008 - - 2.40
Q3 2008 - - 1.67
Q4 2008 85.24 81.47 0.94
Q1 2009 More than 100 More than 100 1.01
Q2 2009 More than 100 More than 100 1.33
Q3 2009 NEG NEG 1.49
Q4 2009 NEG NEG 1.76
Q1 2010 NEG NEG 1.87
Q2 2010 NEG NEG 1.74
Q3 2010 NEG NEG 1.72
Q4 2010 NEG NEG 1.87
Q1 2011 NEG NEG 1.81
Q2 2011 NEG NEG 1.79
Q3 2011 NEG NEG 1.66
Q4 2011 NEG NEG 1.72
Q1 2012 NEG NEG 2.00
Q2 2012 NEG NEG 1.51
Q3 2012 NEG NEG 1.34
Q4 2012 NEG NEG 1.26
Q1 2013 NEG NEG 1.21
Q2 2013 NEG NEG 1.22
Q3 2013 NEG NEG 1.28
Q4 2013 NEG NEG 1.67
Q1 2014 NEG NEG 1.76
Q2 2014 NEG NEG 1.58
Q3 2014 NEG NEG 1.78
Q4 2014 NEG NEG 1.17
Q1 2015 NEG NEG 1.20
Q2 2015 NEG NEG 1.20
Q3 2015 NEG NEG 0.93
Q4 2015 NEG NEG 0.79
Q1 2016 NEG NEG 0.59
Q2 2016 NEG NEG 0.77
Q3 2016 NEG NEG 0.63

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2016 (e) Q3 2016 (a) Change‬
Average 114.95 158.16 37.59 %

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2016 (e) Q3 2016 (a) Change
AlJazira Capital 168.80 158.16 (6.3) %
Sico 105.00 158.16 50.6 %
SNB Capital 95.00 158.16 66.5 %
Riyad Capital 91.00 158.16 73.8 %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 12,225.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 21,345.66
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 1,500.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) (1.36)
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 8.50
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) Neg
P/E (TTM) NEG
Price/book 0.96
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) (7.44 )
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) (14.78 )

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