Saudi 2020 budget deficit expected to hit SAR 187 bln

09/12/2019 Argaam Special

 

Saudi Arabia announced on Monday its state budget for 2020 with estimated revenues of SAR 833 billion, a decline of 9.1% year-on-year (YoY) and public expenditure of SAR 1.020 trillion.

 

Budget deficit is expected to reach SAR 187 billion next year.

 

Actual Revenue and Expenditure (2000 - 2019)

Year

Revenue (SAR bln)

Expenditure (SAR bln)

Deficit (SAR bln)

2020 (estimates)

833

1,020

(187)

2019 (Forecasts)

917

1,048

(131)

2018

906

1,079

(174)

2017

692

930

(238)

2016

519

831

(311)

2015

613

1,001

(389)

2014

1,040

1,141

(101)

2013

1,153

995

158

2012

1,247

917

329

2011

1,118

827

291

2010

741

654

87

2009

510

596

(87)

2008

1101

520

581

2007

643

466

177

2006

674

393

280

2005

564

346

218

2004

392

285

107

2003

293

257

36

2002

213

234

(21)

2001

228

255

(27)

2000

258

235

23

 

In 2019, the Kingdom saw expenditures of SAR 1.048 trillion, a decline of SAR 60 billion compared to estimates of SAR 1.106 trillion.

 

Revenue stood at SAR 917 billion, with SAR 131 billion deficit in the current year.

 

Actual Expenditure Vs. Budgeted Expenditure (2004 - 2019)

Year

Budgeted expenditure (SAR bln)

Actual expenditure (SAR bln)

Variation (SAR bln)

2020 (estimates)

1,020

--

--

2019 (Forecasts)

1,106

1,048

(60)

2018

978

1, 079

+ 101

2017

890

930

+ 40

2016

840

831

 (9)

2015

860

1,001

141

2014

855

1,141

286

2013

820

995

175

2012

690

917

227

2011

580

827

+ 247

2010

540

654

+ 114

2009

475

596

+ 121

2008

410

520

+ 110

2007

380

466

+ 86

2006

335

393

+ 58

2005

280

346

+ 66

2004

230

285

+ 55

 

Oil revenue is projected at SAR 513 billion in 2020, down 14.7% YoY.

 

Meanwhile, non-oil revenue is forecast to grow by 1.6% YoY next year to SAR 320 billion.

 

Revenue Details  (2019 & 2020)

Year

Oil revenue (SAR bln)

Non-oil revenue (SAR bln)

Total (SAR bln)

2020 (estimates)

513

320

833

2019

602

315

917

 

Gross domestic product (GDP) decreased by 4.7% in 2019 to SAR 2.811 trillion. The inflation rate edged down 1% YoY, compared to 2018.

 

Major Economic Data

Item

2010

2011 

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

GDP

(SAR bln)

1981

2517

2760

2800

2836

2454

2419

2582

2949

2811

Inflation

3.8 %

3.7 %

2.9 %

3.5 %

2.7 %

2.2 %

3.4 %

(0.01%)

2.6 %

(1.0%)

                                           

Public debt is expected at SAR 754 billion in 2020, or 26% of the Kingdom’s GDP.

 

Meanwhile, public debt increased to SAR 678 billion by the end of 2019, accounting for 24% of GDP, compared to SAR 560 billion a year earlier.

 

Major Economic Data

Item

2010

2011 

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Public Debt

(SAR bln)

167

135.5

83.8

60.1

44.3

142.3

316.6

443.3

560

678

Public Debt to GDP

8.4 %

5.4 %

3.0 %

2.1 %

1.6 %

5.8 %

13.1 %

17.3%

19.0%

24 %

                                           

The government allocated SAR 193 billion to the education sector, SAR 182 billion to the military sector, and SAR 167 billion to the health services and social development sector.

 

Budget Breakdown 2020 (SAR bln)

Sector

Allocation

Public administration

28

Education

193

Health services and social development

167

Municipal services

54

Military

182

Security and regional administration

102

Basic equipment and transport

56

Economic resources

98

General Items

141

Total

1,020

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