Saudi index up 13% in Q1 2019 on FTSE inclusion
Saudi Arabia's Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) closed Q1 2019 on a positive note, rising by 13 percent, or 992 points (pts), to 8,819 pts - its highest close in three and half years - compared to 7,827 pts at the end of 2018.
The benchmark's gains in the first quarter are the biggest in more than two years since Q4 2016.
In Q1 2019, the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) was included in FTSE Russell and S&P DJI indices, which is expected to attract SAR 21.7 billion in inflows.
The inclusion of the Saudi equity market into the emerging markets benchmarks by MSCI and FTSE Russell will also translate into higher passive foreign inflows given explicit weighting assigned to Saudi Arabia.
During the first three months of 2019, MSCI and the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) announced the launch of the MSCI Tadawul 30 Index (MT30), a tradeable index.
MT30 ended the first quarter 15 percent, or 168 pts higher at 1.309 pts, compared to 1.141 pts last year.
TASI’s Performance Since 2016 |
|||
Period |
Opening (Points) |
Closing (Points) |
Variation |
2016 |
|||
Q1 |
6,912 |
6,223 |
(10%) |
Q2 |
6,223 |
6,500 |
+4% |
Q3 |
6,500 |
5,623 |
(13%) |
Q4 |
5,623 |
7,210 |
+28% |
2017 |
|||
Q1 |
7,210 |
7,002 |
(3%) |
Q2 |
7,002 |
7,426 |
+6% |
Q3 |
7,426 |
7,283 |
(2%) |
Q4 |
7,283 |
7,226 |
(1%) |
2018 |
|||
Q1 |
7,226 |
7,871 |
+9% |
Q2 |
7,871 |
8,314 |
+6% |
Q3 |
8,314 |
8,000 |
(4%) |
Q4 |
8,000 |
7,827 |
+2% |
2019 |
|||
Q1 |
7,827 |
8,819 |
+13% |
The Saudi benchmark rose by nearly 9 percent and 4 percent in January and March respectively in Q1, but it declined by 1 percent in February:
TASI Monthly Performance in Q1 2019 |
|||
Month |
Closing (points) |
Variation (points) |
Variation % |
January |
8,560 |
+733 |
+9% |
February |
8,493 |
(67) |
(1%) |
March |
8,819 |
+326 |
+4% |
Fifteen market sectors closed the quarter in the green, with Consumer Services adding 25 percent. Telecommunication Services edged up by 21 percent, Banks (19 percent) and Materials (10 percent).
Only five sectors ended in the negative territory, led by Pharma which fell 6 percent. It was followed by Media & Entertainment and Energy which retreated by 5 percent each.
Sector Performance |
|||
Sector |
2018-end |
Q1 2019 |
Variation (%) |
Energy |
4,849 |
4,629 |
(5%) |
Basic materials |
5,251 |
5,762 |
+10% |
Capital goods |
3,901 |
3,970 |
+2% |
Commercial & Professional Services |
4,137 |
4,135 |
(0.05%) |
Transportation |
3,477 |
3,734 |
+7% |
Consumer durables |
3,664 |
3,681 |
+0.5% |
Consumer services |
2,947 |
3,671 |
+25% |
Media |
10,178 |
9,719 |
(5%) |
Retailing |
6,866 |
7,132 |
+4% |
Food Retailing |
5,944 |
6,014 |
+1% |
Food & Beverages |
3,888 |
4,305 |
+11% |
Healthcare |
3,757 |
3,773 |
+0.4% |
Pharma. |
3,879 |
3,628 |
(6%) |
Banks |
7,214 |
8,578 |
+19% |
Diversified financials |
3,478 |
3,679 |
+6% |
Insurance |
4,175 |
4,110 |
(2%) |
Telecom |
5,406 |
6,526 |
+21% |
Utilities |
3,369 |
3,692 |
+10% |
REITs |
3,623 |
3,671 |
+1% |
Real Estate Management |
3,225 |
3,277 |
+2% |
Market |
7,827 |
8,819 |
+13% |
The Saudi index recorded its three-month highest trading level of 8,827 pts, and its highest close of 8,819 pts on March 31. Meanwhile, the benchmark recorded its three-month lowest trading level and lowest close at 7,766 pts and 7,791 pts respectively on Jan. 2.
The gauge recorded its highest average daily trading value of around SAR 4.8 billion on March 14 (when Tadawul was included in FTSE Russell Index) and its lowest average daily trading value of SAR 1.63 billion on Jan. 1.
Trading Volumes in Q1 2019 (SAR bln) |
||||
Month |
Q1 2018 |
Q1 2019 |
Daily average |
Variation % |
January |
82.0 |
68.2 |
2.97 |
(17%) |
February |
67.8 |
47.0 |
2.35 |
(31%) |
March |
87.6 |
61.7 |
2.94 |
(30%) |
Total |
237.4 |
177.0 |
2.76 |
(25%) |
The index gained more than 100 pts in four sessions, three of which are in Jan. and one in Feb.
The benchmark recorded the biggest daily decline of around 80 pts on Feb. 25.
The Saudi index reported a 25 percent fall in Q1 2019 trading turnover to SAR 177 billion compared to SAR 237.4 billion in Q1 2018:
Tadawul-listed stocks posted mixed performance in Q1 2019, as 109 stocks ended on an up note, while 63 ones closed the quarter in the red.
Al Tayyar Travel Group was the best performer, jumping by 43 percent. It was followed by Zain Saudi (33 percent) and Etihad Etisalat (Mobily) (31 percent).
Shares of Al Rajhi Bank, Samba Financial Group and Riyad Bank also rose by 22 percent - 24 percent in Q1. National Industrialization Co. (Tasnee) and Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development gained 19 percent each in the three-month period.
Top 10 Gainers in Q1 2019 (SAR) |
|||
Company |
2018 closing |
Q1 2019 closing |
Variation % |
Al Tayyar |
20.00 |
28.50 |
+43% |
Zain |
8.27 |
11.00 |
+33% |
Steel Pipe |
18.08 |
23.80 |
+32% |
Mobily |
16.58 |
21.76 |
+31% |
Al Yamamah Steel |
14.56 |
19.10 |
+31% |
SISCO |
10.84 |
13.80 |
+27% |
Emaar |
7.91 |
10.00 |
+26% |
Southern Cement |
36.85 |
46.00 |
+25% |
Al Rajhi |
87.50 |
108.40 |
+24% |
Samba |
31.40 |
38.90 |
+24% |
Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance Co. (Enaya) was the biggest loser, plunging by 36 percent. It was followed by National Agriculture Marketing Co. (Thimar) and Abdullah A. M. Al-Khodari Sons (Al Khodari) (19 percent). Shares of the National Shipping Co. of Saudi Arabia (Bahri) and National Agricultural Development Co. (Nadec) also slumped by 10 percent and 8 percent respectively in Q1.
Top 10 Losers in Q1 2019 (SAR) |
|||
Company |
2018 closing |
2019 closing |
Variation % |
Enaya |
20.74 |
13.24 |
(36%) |
Thimar |
27.00 |
21.80 |
(19%) |
Al Khodari |
6.80 |
5.52 |
(19%) |
Alasmak |
78.30 |
64.30 |
(18%) |
Amana* |
16.89 |
13.94 |
(17%) |
SPM |
14.06 |
11.64 |
(17%) |
Al Sorayai |
14.80 |
12.30 |
(17%) |
Anaam |
14.44 |
12.14 |
(16%) |
SIECO |
88.50 |
77.10 |
(13%) |
Gulf General |
13.26 |
11.76 |
(11%) |
*Capital change during the period.
The Saudi market heavyweights recorded strong performance in Q1, except for Jabal Omar Development Co. which dropped by 7 percent.
Al Rajhi Bank and Samba Financial Group gained 24 percent. Also, shares of Saudi Basic Industries Corp. (SABIC) increased by 8 percent, while Saudi Telecom (STC) and National Commercial Bank (NCB) rose by 17 percent and 15 percent respectively in Q1.
Performance of Market’s Top Companies in Q1 2019 (SAR) |
|||
Company |
Opening |
Closing |
Variation % |
Al Rajhi |
87.50 |
108.40 |
+24% |
SABIC |
116.20 |
125.00 |
+8% |
NCB |
47.85 |
55.00 |
+15% |
SAMBA |
31.40 |
38.90 |
+24% |
Riyad |
19.82 |
24.10 |
+22% |
Fourteen Saudi-listed stocks ended the quarter below their par value - SAR 10 - led by Al Khodari at SAR 5.52 and Saudi Arabian Amiantit Co. (SAR 6.35).
Stocks Trading Below Nominal Value By End- Q1 2019 |
||
Company |
Stock Price (SAR) |
Decline % |
Al Khodari |
5.52 |
(45%) |
Amiantit |
6.35 |
(37%) |
Saudi Re |
7.70 |
(23%) |
Al Jouf Cement |
7.98 |
(20%) |
Hail Cement |
8.35 |
(17%) |
Najran Cement |
8.49 |
(15%) |
Shaker |
8.65 |
(14%) |
Kingdom Holding |
8.75 |
(13%) |
SIDC |
8.81 |
(12%) |
Northern Cement |
8.82 |
(12%) |
Aseer |
9.14 |
(9%) |
Takween |
9.18 |
(8%) |
Kowledge City |
9.72 |
(3%) |
Arabian Pipes |
9.84 |
(2%) |
* Capital cut during the period
The Saudi REIT funds recorded mixed performance in Q1 2019, with nine funds in the red, while another seven closed in the green territory.
Performance REITs Listed in Q1 2019 |
|||
REIT |
Opening (SAR) |
Closing (SAR) |
Variation % |
MEFIC REIT |
8.15 |
9.60 |
+18% |
Bonyan REIT |
8.37 |
9.12 |
+9% |
Mashaar REIT |
7.14 |
7.51 |
+5% |
Al Rajhi REIT |
8.16 |
8.47 |
+4% |
Jadwa Al Haramain REIT |
7.50 |
7.68 |
+2% |
Mulkia REIT |
8.13 |
8.26 |
+2% |
Al Ahli (1) REIT |
7.76 |
7.80 |
+1% |
Derayah REIT |
8.38 |
8.37 |
-- |
Jadwa Saudi REIT |
8.70 |
8.60 |
(1%) |
Al Ma’athar REIT |
7.61 |
7.50 |
(1%) |
Taleem REIT |
10.24 |
10.06 |
(2%) |
Musharaka REIT |
8.33 |
8.16 |
(2%) |
Riyad REIT |
7.85 |
7.67 |
(2%) |
SEDCO Capital REIT |
8.01 |
7.82 |
(2%) |
Swicorp Wabel REIT REIT |
8.56 |
8.13 |
(5%) |
Aljazira REIT |
14.42 |
13.26 |
(8%) |
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