Advanced 9M 2023 profit drops 51% to SAR 148 mln; Q3 at SAR 45 mln

19/10/2023 Argaam Exclusive

Advanced Petrochemical Co. reported a 51% tumble in net profit to SAR 148 million in the first nine months of 2023, from SAR 300.9 million in the prior-year period.  



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2022 9m 2023 Change‬
Revenues 2,336.85 1,802.66 (22.9 %)
Gross Income 468.63 348.83 (25.6 %)
Operating Income 368.58 226.28 (38.6 %)
Net Income 300.91 148.13 (50.8 %)
Average Shares 260.00 260.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 1.16 0.57 (50.8 %)

The profit fall was attributed to a decline in sales prices and volumes by 24% and 4% year-on-year (YoY), respectively.

 

The company recognized a loss share of SAR 75 million in SK Advanced investment during the current period, compared to SAR 63 million during the first nine months of 2022.

 

On the other hand, propane and propylene prices fell by 29% and 21% YoY, respectively.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2022 Q3 2023 Change‬
Revenues 656.52 594.25 (9.5 %)
Gross Income 89.47 122.05 36.4 %
Operating Income 55.09 79.61 44.5 %
Net Income 26.96 45.15 67.5 %
Average Shares 260.00 260.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.10 0.17 67.5 %

The company’s third-quarter net profit climbed 67% to SAR 45 million, from SAR 26.9 million in Q3 2022, thanks to a 32% and 14% YoY rise in propane and propylene prices, respectively. Freight costs saw a plunge of 54% YoY, while sales volume rose by 1% YoY. 

 

By contrast, sales prices declined by 13% YoY. 

 

Advanced net profit dropped 25.4% from SAR 60.30 million in Q2 2023, as sales prices decreased by 9% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ).  

 

The company recognized a loss share of SAR 32 million in SK Advanced investment during the current quarter, compared to SAR 21 million in Q3 2022.  

 

Sales volumes jumped 12% QoQ. Propane and propylene prices fell by 8% and 4% QoQ, respectively. Freight costs dipped 14% QoQ. 

 

Shareholders' equity, after minority interest, dropped to SAR 3.20 billion as of Sept. 30, 2023, from SAR 3.24 billion a year earlier.

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Share Price

Advanced Petrochemical Co.
32.15
(0.05) (0.16 %)

Advanced Petrochemical Co. (ADVANCED)

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Financial Ratios
Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 8,359.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 16,400.15
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 260.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 0.20
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 12.35
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) More than 100
P/E (TTM) More than 100
Price/book 2.60
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 0.4
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 1.6
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Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2014 669.17 4.3 % 150.42 13.3 % 138.60 13.8 %
Q2 2014 807.63 17.8 % 192.85 28.0 % 183.19 30.7 %
Q3 2014 819.76 18.1 % 205.69 33.5 % 196.90 37.2 %
Q4 2014 739.82 (3.2 %) 231.78 33.2 % 216.42 35.2 %
Q1 2015 467.94 (30.1 %) 111.12 (26.1 %) 100.34 (27.6 %)
Q2 2015 735.37 (8.9 %) 264.00 36.9 % 253.53 38.4 %
Q3 2015 631.98 (22.9 %) 248.32 20.7 % 240.55 22.2 %
Q4 2015 541.73 (26.8 %) 160.72 (30.7 %) 148.10 (31.6 %)
Q1 2016 488.07 4.3 % 178.90 61.0 % 147.77 47.3 %
Q2 2016 546.41 (25.7 %) 224.96 (14.8 %) 195.04 (23.1 %)
Q3 2016 528.53 (16.4 %) 225.65 (9.1 %) 196.67 (18.2 %)
Q4 2016 576.37 6.4 % 228.95 42.5 % 188.65 27.4 %
Q1 2017 526.24 7.8 % 143.25 (19.9 %) 117.00 (20.8 %)
Q2 2017 604.41 10.6 % 220.13 (2.1 %) 192.07 (1.5 %)
Q3 2017 616.41 16.6 % 221.95 (1.6 %) 195.36 (0.7 %)
Q4 2017 637.48 10.6 % 152.79 (33.3 %) 115.24 (38.9 %)
Q1 2018 503.82 (4.3 %) 119.14 (16.8 %) 94.71 (19.1 %)
Q2 2018 749.67 24.0 % 277.14 25.9 % 246.61 28.4 %
Q3 2018 744.94 20.9 % 218.08 (1.7 %) 190.55 (2.5 %)
Q4 2018 749.79 17.6 % 213.22 39.5 % 168.51 46.2 %
Q1 2019 647.97 28.6 % 193.91 62.8 % 151.74 60.2 %
Q2 2019 680.96 (9.2 %) 246.37 (11.1 %) 207.33 (15.9 %)
Q3 2019 647.18 (13.1 %) 245.26 12.5 % 201.94 6.0 %
Q4 2019 618.40 (17.5 %) 213.67 0.2 % 171.22 1.6 %
Q1 2020 534.52 (17.5 %) 154.37 (20.4 %) 125.20 (17.5 %)
Q2 2020 519.04 (23.8 %) 186.06 (24.5 %) 152.30 (26.5 %)
Q3 2020 544.95 (15.8 %) 171.89 (29.9 %) 140.32 (30.5 %)
Q4 2020 632.85 2.3 % 216.90 1.5 % 174.63 2.0 %
Q1 2021 631.74 18.2 % 201.36 30.4 % 163.51 30.6 %
Q2 2021 768.80 48.1 % 326.79 75.6 % 283.91 86.4 %
Q3 2021 805.33 47.8 % 269.18 56.6 % 231.33 64.9 %
Q4 2021 905.45 43.1 % 245.28 13.1 % 185.92 6.5 %
Q1 2022 866.31 37.1 % 210.80 4.7 % 181.94 11.3 %
Q2 2022 814.02 5.9 % 168.36 (48.5 %) 131.55 (53.7 %)
Q3 2022 656.52 (18.5 %) 89.47 (66.8 %) 55.09 (76.2 %)
Q4 2022 611.63 (32.5 %) 67.67 (72.4 %) 30.39 (83.7 %)
Q1 2023 626.87 (27.6 %) 101.69 (51.8 %) 64.42 (64.6 %)
Q2 2023 581.54 (28.6 %) 125.09 (25.7 %) 82.25 (37.5 %)
Q3 2023 594.25 (9.5 %) 122.05 36.4 % 79.61 44.5 %


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2014 137.45 16.5 % 0.53 1.20 136.26 0.52
Q2 2014 184.63 35.1 % 0.71 4.45 180.19 0.69
Q3 2014 228.74 62.3 % 0.88 34.57 194.17 0.75
Q4 2014 200.13 24.1 % 0.77 (13.13) 213.26 0.82
Q1 2015 89.63 (34.8 %) 0.34 - 89.63 0.34
Q2 2015 243.15 31.7 % 0.94 - 243.15 0.94
Q3 2015 234.18 2.4 % 0.90 - 234.18 0.90
Q4 2015 146.08 (27.0 %) 0.56 - 146.08 0.56
Q1 2016 142.86 59.4 % 0.55 (3.42) 146.28 0.56
Q2 2016 192.11 (21.0 %) 0.74 (6.76) 198.87 0.76
Q3 2016 189.10 (19.2 %) 0.73 (14.00) 203.11 0.78
Q4 2016 207.81 42.3 % 0.80 6.98 200.83 0.77
Q1 2017 124.37 (12.9 %) 0.48 - 124.37 0.48
Q2 2017 194.51 1.2 % 0.75 - 194.51 0.75
Q3 2017 208.41 10.2 % 0.80 - 208.41 0.80
Q4 2017 103.83 (50.0 %) 0.40 - 103.83 0.40
Q1 2018 97.55 (21.6 %) 0.38 - 97.55 0.38
Q2 2018 253.34 30.2 % 0.97 - 253.34 0.97
Q3 2018 202.20 (3.0 %) 0.78 - 202.20 0.78
Q4 2018 163.87 57.8 % 0.63 - 163.87 0.63
Q1 2019 161.88 65.9 % 0.62 - 161.88 0.62
Q2 2019 192.31 (24.1 %) 0.74 - 192.31 0.74
Q3 2019 213.12 5.4 % 0.82 - 213.12 0.82
Q4 2019 192.01 17.2 % 0.74 - 192.01 0.74
Q1 2020 104.33 (35.5 %) 0.40 - 104.33 0.40
Q2 2020 154.96 (19.4 %) 0.60 - 154.96 0.60
Q3 2020 156.50 (26.6 %) 0.60 - 156.50 0.60
Q4 2020 179.81 (6.4 %) 0.69 - 179.81 0.69
Q1 2021 171.36 64.2 % 0.66 - 171.36 0.66
Q2 2021 264.62 70.8 % 1.02 - 264.62 1.02
Q3 2021 217.76 39.1 % 0.84 - 217.76 0.84
Q4 2021 161.66 (10.1 %) 0.62 - 161.66 0.62
Q1 2022 164.35 (4.1 %) 0.63 - 164.35 0.63
Q2 2022 109.60 (58.6 %) 0.42 - 109.60 0.42
Q3 2022 26.96 (87.6 %) 0.10 - 26.96 0.10
Q4 2022 (6.41) (104.0 %) (0.02) - (6.41) (0.02)
Q1 2023 42.69 (74.0 %) 0.16 - 42.69 0.16
Q2 2023 60.30 (45.0 %) 0.23 - 60.30 0.23
Q3 2023 45.15 67.5 % 0.17 - 45.15 0.17

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2014 22.36 % 28.05 % 20.45 %
Q2 2014 22.87 % 28.30 % 21.08 %
Q3 2014 23.62 % 28.85 % 21.95 %
Q4 2014 25.71 % 31.08 % 23.84 %
Q1 2015 26.15 % 31.74 % 23.89 %
Q2 2015 29.41 % 35.36 % 26.79 %
Q3 2015 33.21 % 39.71 % 30.30 %
Q4 2015 32.99 % 40.09 % 30.00 %
Q1 2016 35.54 % 41.88 % 32.11 %
Q2 2016 36.81 % 42.47 % 32.85 %
Q3 2016 37.55 % 41.89 % 32.99 %
Q4 2016 40.13 % 42.70 % 35.01 %
Q1 2017 37.79 % 40.45 % 33.39 %
Q2 2017 36.59 % 39.17 % 32.33 %
Q3 2017 35.05 % 37.93 % 31.34 %
Q4 2017 30.95 % 34.04 % 26.47 %
Q1 2018 30.23 % 33.46 % 25.58 %
Q2 2018 30.75 % 33.85 % 26.45 %
Q3 2018 29.10 % 32.22 % 24.92 %
Q4 2018 30.11 % 33.04 % 26.09 %
Q1 2019 31.20 % 33.53 % 27.01 %
Q2 2019 30.87 % 33.03 % 25.51 %
Q3 2019 32.97 % 34.78 % 26.82 %
Q4 2019 34.66 % 36.52 % 29.27 %
Q1 2020 34.65 % 37.15 % 28.28 %
Q2 2020 34.47 % 37.40 % 28.65 %
Q3 2020 32.75 % 36.19 % 27.42 %
Q4 2020 32.68 % 36.27 % 26.69 %
Q1 2021 33.33 % 36.24 % 28.46 %
Q2 2021 35.56 % 37.96 % 29.95 %
Q3 2021 35.73 % 37.82 % 29.36 %
Q4 2021 33.51 % 34.90 % 26.21 %
Q1 2022 31.44 % 33.20 % 24.16 %
Q2 2022 26.35 % 28.25 % 19.27 %
Q3 2022 22.02 % 24.09 % 14.27 %
Q4 2022 18.19 % 20.84 % 9.99 %
Q1 2023 15.77 % 17.91 % 6.38 %
Q2 2023 15.50 % 17.12 % 4.99 %
Q3 2023 17.25 % 18.06 % 5.87 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2014 260.00 2.22 2.21 8.42
Q2 2014 260.00 2.40 2.38 8.31
Q3 2014 260.00 2.74 2.58 8.51
Q4 2014 260.00 2.89 2.78 9.14
Q1 2015 260.00 2.70 2.60 8.58
Q2 2015 260.00 2.93 2.85 9.04
Q3 2015 260.00 2.95 3.00 9.31
Q4 2015 260.00 2.74 2.74 9.65
Q1 2016 260.00 2.95 2.96 9.15
Q2 2016 260.00 2.75 2.79 9.93
Q3 2016 260.00 2.58 2.67 10.55
Q4 2016 260.00 2.81 2.88 11.68
Q1 2017 260.00 2.74 2.80 11.22
Q2 2017 260.00 2.75 2.78 10.86
Q3 2017 260.00 2.83 2.80 11.89
Q4 2017 260.00 2.43 2.43 11.97
Q1 2018 260.00 2.32 2.32 11.84
Q2 2018 260.00 2.55 2.55 12.53
Q3 2018 260.00 2.53 2.53 12.43
Q4 2018 260.00 2.76 2.76 12.40
Q1 2019 260.00 3.00 3.00 12.38
Q2 2019 260.00 2.77 2.77 12.42
Q3 2019 260.00 2.81 2.81 12.57
Q4 2019 260.00 2.92 2.92 12.89
Q1 2020 260.00 2.70 2.70 11.37
Q2 2020 260.00 2.56 2.56 11.67
Q3 2020 260.00 2.34 2.34 12.23
Q4 2020 260.00 2.29 2.29 13.15
Q1 2021 260.00 2.55 2.55 12.86
Q2 2021 260.00 2.97 2.97 13.98
Q3 2021 260.00 3.21 3.21 15.35
Q4 2021 260.00 3.14 3.14 14.36
Q1 2022 260.00 3.11 3.11 14.89
Q2 2022 260.00 2.51 2.51 13.99
Q3 2022 260.00 1.78 1.78 12.46
Q4 2022 260.00 1.13 1.13 12.46
Q1 2023 260.00 0.66 0.66 11.99
Q2 2023 260.00 0.48 0.48 12.51
Q3 2023 260.00 0.55 0.55 12.33

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2014 12.12 12.15 3.19
Q2 2014 11.62 11.73 3.36
Q3 2014 13.77 14.59 4.43
Q4 2014 8.78 9.11 2.77
Q1 2015 9.69 10.06 3.05
Q2 2015 12.08 12.43 3.91
Q3 2015 9.76 9.59 3.09
Q4 2015 8.68 8.68 2.47
Q1 2016 8.79 8.75 2.83
Q2 2016 10.89 10.73 3.02
Q3 2016 11.08 10.70 2.71
Q4 2016 12.36 12.08 2.98
Q1 2017 12.73 12.49 3.11
Q2 2017 12.69 12.57 3.22
Q3 2017 12.31 12.43 2.93
Q4 2017 14.32 14.32 2.90
Q1 2018 16.28 16.28 3.20
Q2 2018 16.27 16.27 3.31
Q3 2018 16.45 16.45 3.34
Q4 2018 13.87 13.87 3.08
Q1 2019 14.01 14.01 3.40
Q2 2019 16.48 16.48 3.68
Q3 2019 14.37 14.37 3.22
Q4 2019 14.09 14.09 3.19
Q1 2020 13.74 13.74 3.26
Q2 2020 17.34 17.34 3.80
Q3 2020 21.06 21.06 4.03
Q4 2020 24.37 24.37 4.24
Q1 2021 23.86 23.86 4.73
Q2 2021 20.28 20.28 4.31
Q3 2021 19.49 19.49 4.07
Q4 2021 18.70 18.70 4.08
Q1 2022 22.67 22.67 4.73
Q2 2022 20.39 20.39 3.67
Q3 2022 25.01 25.01 3.58
Q4 2022 37.40 37.40 3.41
Q1 2023 71.91 71.91 3.99
Q2 2023 92.81 92.81 3.53
Q3 2023 73.57 73.57 3.25

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2023 (e) Q3 2023 (a) Change‬
Average 62.07 45.15 (27.3 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2023 (e) Q3 2023 (a) Change
Hermes 45.00 45.15 0.3 %
Goldman Sachs 46.80 45.15 (3.5) %
Bank of America 50.04 45.15 (9.8) %
Al Rajhi Capital 52.00 45.15 (13.2) %
OSOOL AND BAKHEET 55.53 45.15 (18.7) %
JP Morgan 57.00 45.15 (20.8) %
Arqaam Capital 58.00 45.15 (22.2) %
AlJazira Capital 58.60 45.15 (23.0) %
Riyad Capital 59.00 45.15 (23.5) %
Value Capital 81.95 45.15 (44.9) %
SNB Capital 86.00 45.15 (47.5) %
U-Capital 94.90 45.15 (52.4) %

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