SAFCO’s net profit drops 3% in 9M 2019

22/10/2019 Argaam Exclusive

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Saudi Arabia Fertilizers Co. (SAFCO) reported a net profit after zakat and tax of SAR 1.13 billion for the first nine months of 2019, a 3.4 percent year-on-year (YoY) decrease, due to lower sales volumes.



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2018 9m 2019 Change‬
Revenues 2,769.73 2,442.01 (11.8 %)
Gross Income 1,442.10 1,263.08 (12.4 %)
Operating Income 1,118.09 984.19 (12.0 %)
Net Income 1,169.90 1,130.13 (3.4 %)
Average Shares 416.67 416.67 -
EPS (Riyals) 2.81 2.71 (3.4 %)

In Q3 2019, the company’s net profit dropped 20.7 percent YoY to SAR 414.21 million on lower sales volumes, lower average selling prices, a decrease in profit share from subsidiary the National Chemical Fertilizer Co. (Ibn Al-Baytar), and lower other income.

 

On a sequential basis, Q3 2019 net profit rose around 9 percent from the previous quarter, attributed to higher sales volumes and lower zakat provision.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2018 Q3 2019 Change‬
Revenues 1,008.66 909.71 (9.8 %)
Gross Income 584.54 465.08 (20.4 %)
Operating Income 481.23 363.66 (24.4 %)
Net Income 522.24 414.21 (20.7 %)
Average Shares 416.67 416.67 -
EPS (Riyals) 1.25 0.99 (20.7 %)


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Net Income Change EPS(Riyal)
Q1 2010 863.79 16.8 % 642.97 42.0 % 698.26 33.1 % 1.68
Q2 2010 732.66 6.8 % 578.93 26.9 % 907.20 88.9 % 2.18
Q3 2010 890.73 24.7 % 549.99 22.0 % 603.82 30.1 % 1.45
Q4 2010 1,302.29 116.6 % 918.08 155.9 % 1,025.34 205.8 % 2.46
Q1 2011 1,037.85 20.1 % 775.20 20.6 % 832.63 19.2 % 2.00
Q2 2011 1,129.51 54.2 % 778.07 34.4 % 789.93 (12.9 %) 1.90
Q3 2011 1,378.89 54.8 % 1,083.97 97.1 % 1,210.58 100.5 % 2.91
Q4 2011 1,504.99 15.6 % 1,128.01 22.9 % 1,276.63 24.5 % 3.06
Q1 2012 1,061.50 2.3 % 753.60 (2.8 %) 786.91 (5.5 %) 1.89
Q2 2012 1,115.96 (1.2 %) 743.75 (4.4 %) 783.93 (0.8 %) 1.88
Q3 2012 1,398.10 1.4 % 1,063.56 (1.9 %) 1,149.00 (5.1 %) 2.76
Q4 2012 1,404.84 (6.7 %) 1,047.40 (7.1 %) 1,146.38 (10.2 %) 2.75
Q1 2013 1,177.76 11.0 % 852.82 13.2 % 931.59 18.4 % 2.24
Q2 2013 982.88 (11.9 %) 651.93 (12.3 %) 692.88 (11.6 %) 1.66
Q3 2013 1,071.88 (23.3 %) 695.40 (34.6 %) 734.01 (36.1 %) 1.76
Q4 2013 1,007.88 (28.3 %) 678.47 (35.2 %) 802.00 (30.0 %) 1.92
Q1 2014 1,178.36 0.1 % 819.80 (3.9 %) 842.50 (9.6 %) 2.02
Q2 2014 935.77 (4.8 %) 602.24 (7.6 %) 638.99 (7.8 %) 1.53
Q3 2014 1,248.62 16.5 % 890.35 28.0 % 913.37 24.4 % 2.19
Q4 2014 1,093.39 8.5 % 754.48 11.2 % 779.18 (2.8 %) 1.87
Q1 2015 962.42 (18.3 %) 603.11 (26.4 %) 589.98 (30.0 %) 1.42
Q2 2015 883.75 (5.6 %) 553.99 (8.0 %) 595.76 (6.8 %) 1.43
Q3 2015 887.43 (28.9 %) 567.64 (36.2 %) 566.15 (38.0 %) 1.36
Q4 2015 813.67 (25.6 %) 360.31 (52.2 %) 378.55 (51.4 %) 0.91
Q1 2016 691.23 (28.2 %) 354.12 (41.3 %) 279.01 (52.7 %) 0.67
Q2 2016 709.85 (19.7 %) 329.53 (40.5 %) 302.32 (49.3 %) 0.73
Q3 2016 689.53 (22.3 %) 293.49 (48.3 %) 186.22 (67.1 %) 0.45
Q4 2016 765.32 (5.9 %) 372.09 3.3 % 268.40 (29.1 %) 0.64
Q1 2017 846.65 22.5 % 479.52 35.4 % 423.36 51.7 % 1.02
Q2 2017 679.48 (4.3 %) 288.65 (12.4 %) 204.34 (32.4 %) 0.49
Q3 2017 617.28 (10.5 %) 268.55 (8.5 %) 188.42 1.2 % 0.45
Q4 2017 616.05 (19.5 %) 148.65 (60.1 %) 62.51 (76.7 %) 0.15
Q1 2018 810.76 (4.2 %) 358.32 (25.3 %) 237.20 (44.0 %) 0.57
Q2 2018 950.31 39.9 % 499.24 73.0 % 410.46 100.9 % 0.99
Q3 2018 1,008.66 63.4 % 584.54 117.7 % 522.24 177.2 % 1.25
Q4 2018 1,090.10 77.0 % 689.15 363.6 % 568.53 809.5 % 1.36
Q1 2019 718.68 (11.4 %) 378.29 5.6 % 335.47 41.4 % 0.81
Q2 2019 813.61 (14.4 %) 419.71 (15.9 %) 380.44 (7.3 %) 0.91
Q3 2019 909.71 (9.8 %) 465.08 (20.4 %) 414.21 (20.7 %) 0.99

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2010 66.62 % 72.45 % 67.47 %
Q2 2010 69.76 % 75.51 % 70.71 %
Q3 2010 68.99 % 74.50 % 71.91 %
Q4 2010 70.99 % 77.07 % 77.39 %
Q1 2011 71.20 % 77.27 % 77.38 %
Q2 2011 69.29 % 74.95 % 74.59 %
Q3 2011 73.33 % 78.93 % 79.59 %
Q4 2011 74.54 % 78.96 % 81.36 %
Q1 2012 73.77 % 78.19 % 80.08 %
Q2 2012 73.29 % 77.86 % 80.18 %
Q3 2012 72.61 % 77.33 % 78.66 %
Q4 2012 72.45 % 77.69 % 77.63 %
Q1 2013 72.74 % 77.97 % 78.70 %
Q2 2013 72.84 % 78.17 % 78.97 %
Q3 2013 70.03 % 76.05 % 75.58 %
Q4 2013 67.89 % 74.79 % 74.45 %
Q1 2014 67.10 % 73.89 % 72.34 %
Q2 2014 66.67 % 73.41 % 71.87 %
Q3 2014 68.43 % 74.29 % 73.07 %
Q4 2014 68.82 % 74.90 % 70.26 %
Q1 2015 67.22 % 73.44 % 67.88 %
Q2 2015 66.90 % 73.61 % 67.69 %
Q3 2015 64.78 % 72.83 % 65.01 %
Q4 2015 58.78 % 68.07 % 60.06 %
Q1 2016 56.04 % 64.77 % 55.54 %
Q2 2016 51.95 % 63.60 % 49.19 %
Q3 2016 46.05 % 52.74 % 39.46 %
Q4 2016 47.24 % 50.45 % 36.27 %
Q1 2017 48.97 % 51.41 % 39.20 %
Q2 2017 48.10 % 46.97 % 36.31 %
Q3 2017 48.43 % 50.96 % 37.29 %
Q4 2017 42.96 % 47.55 % 31.84 %
Q1 2018 39.07 % 44.19 % 25.42 %
Q2 2018 42.57 % 46.45 % 30.01 %
Q3 2018 46.98 % 50.76 % 36.40 %
Q4 2018 55.22 % 57.41 % 45.04 %
Q1 2019 57.10 % 60.57 % 48.75 %
Q2 2019 57.05 % 61.21 % 49.76 %
Q3 2019 55.27 % 60.02 % 48.09 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2010 416.67 4.75 4.64 14.44
Q2 2010 416.67 5.77 4.94 13.00
Q3 2010 416.67 6.11 5.33 14.46
Q4 2010 416.67 7.76 7.04 17.12
Q1 2011 416.67 8.09 7.36 19.13
Q2 2011 416.67 7.80 7.81 17.41
Q3 2011 416.67 9.26 9.26 16.67
Q4 2011 416.67 9.86 9.86 19.70
Q1 2012 416.67 9.75 9.75 21.77
Q2 2012 416.67 9.74 9.74 19.27
Q3 2012 416.67 9.59 9.59 18.45
Q4 2012 416.67 9.28 9.28 21.26
Q1 2013 416.67 9.63 9.63 23.62
Q2 2013 416.67 9.41 9.41 20.54
Q3 2013 416.67 8.41 8.41 17.66
Q4 2013 416.67 7.59 7.58 19.85
Q1 2014 416.67 7.37 7.36 17.00
Q2 2014 416.67 7.24 7.23 15.34
Q3 2014 416.67 7.67 7.66 17.55
Q4 2014 416.67 7.62 7.51 18.87
Q1 2015 416.67 7.01 6.91 20.16
Q2 2015 416.67 6.91 6.80 19.46
Q3 2015 416.67 6.07 5.97 17.57
Q4 2015 416.67 5.11 5.11 18.23
Q1 2016 416.67 4.37 4.37 16.07
Q2 2016 416.67 3.66 3.66 15.35
Q3 2016 416.67 2.75 2.75 15.81
Q4 2016 416.67 2.49 2.49 16.00
Q1 2017 416.67 2.83 2.83 16.09
Q2 2017 416.67 2.60 2.60 16.55
Q3 2017 416.67 2.60 2.60 16.31
Q4 2017 416.67 2.11 2.11 16.47
Q1 2018 416.67 1.66 1.66 16.40
Q2 2018 416.67 2.16 2.16 16.42
Q3 2018 416.67 2.96 2.96 17.59
Q4 2018 416.67 4.17 4.17 18.97
Q1 2019 416.67 4.41 4.41 19.97
Q2 2019 416.67 4.34 4.34 17.61
Q3 2019 416.67 4.08 4.08 18.21

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2010 21.19 21.69 6.97
Q2 2010 15.26 17.82 6.78
Q3 2010 16.16 18.52 6.83
Q4 2010 14.11 15.56 6.40
Q1 2011 15.90 17.46 6.72
Q2 2011 16.60 16.60 7.44
Q3 2011 13.47 13.47 7.49
Q4 2011 12.23 12.23 6.12
Q1 2012 13.39 13.39 6.00
Q2 2012 11.97 11.97 6.05
Q3 2012 13.33 13.33 6.93
Q4 2012 15.00 15.00 6.55
Q1 2013 15.07 15.07 6.14
Q2 2013 13.99 13.99 6.41
Q3 2013 16.05 16.05 7.65
Q4 2013 18.86 18.88 7.21
Q1 2014 19.84 19.86 8.60
Q2 2014 20.27 20.29 9.57
Q3 2014 19.51 19.53 8.53
Q4 2014 16.90 17.13 6.82
Q1 2015 19.54 19.83 6.79
Q2 2015 19.52 19.82 6.93
Q3 2015 17.94 18.25 6.21
Q4 2015 18.36 18.36 5.15
Q1 2016 17.34 17.34 4.71
Q2 2016 18.51 18.51 4.42
Q3 2016 27.52 27.52 4.79
Q4 2016 34.30 34.30 5.33
Q1 2017 27.66 27.66 4.87
Q2 2017 27.66 27.66 4.34
Q3 2017 26.89 26.89 4.29
Q4 2017 35.27 35.27 4.52
Q1 2018 48.81 48.81 4.95
Q2 2018 32.69 32.69 4.29
Q3 2018 30.94 30.94 5.20
Q4 2018 21.11 21.11 4.64
Q1 2019 20.97 20.97 4.63
Q2 2019 22.79 22.79 5.61
Q3 2019 22.50 22.50 5.04

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2019 (e) Q3 2019 (a) Change‬
Average 430.66 414.21 (3.8 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2019 (e) Q3 2019 (a) Change
OSOOL AND BAKHEET 414.20 414.21 0.0 %
SNB Capital 422.00 414.21 (1.8) %
Al Rajhi Capital 434.00 414.21 (4.6) %
Riyad Capital 440.00 414.21 (5.9) %
AlJazira Capital 443.10 414.21 (6.5) %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 54,458.98
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 44,751.49
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 476.04
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 7.39
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 38.92
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) 14.92
P/E (TTM) 15.47
Price/book 2.94
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 13.3
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 19.8

Share Price

114.40
(1.00) (0.87 %)

SABIC Agri-Nutrients Co. (SABIC AGRI-NUTRIENTS)


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