Petrochem’s FY15 profit rises 17% on lower feedstock prices

21/01/2016 Argaam Exclusive

National Petrochemical Co. (Petrochem), which is 50 percent owned by the Saudi Industrial Investment Group (SIIG), reported a 17 percent year-on-year (YOY) rise in net profit to SAR 906.6 million for the 2015 fiscal year. The company mainly attributed the improvement to lower feedstock prices and higher sales volumes.



Financials (M)

Item 2014 2015 Change‬
Revenues 7,858.52 7,304.17 (7.1 %)
Gross Income 2,299.06 2,481.77 7.9 %
Operating Income 1,505.61 1,762.58 17.1 %
Net Income 774.45 906.89 17.1 %
Average Shares 480.00 480.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 1.61 1.89 17.1 %

 

However, the petrochemical producer’s fourth-quarter net profit fell by seven percent YOY to SAR 178.3 million on a decline in profit margins and sales prices. Profit for Q4-2015 was 45 percent lower when compared to the previous quarter.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q4 2014 Q4 2015 Change‬
Revenues 2,230.28 1,654.69 (25.8 %)
Gross Income 613.39 546.25 (10.9 %)
Operating Income 406.50 372.54 (8.4 %)
Net Income 192.53 178.30 (7.4 %)
Average Shares 480.00 480.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.40 0.37 (7.4 %)

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Share Price

National Petrochemical Co.
45.45
(0.60) (1.30 %)


Financial Ratios
Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 21,816.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) -
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 480.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 2.85
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 19.02
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) 15.96
P/E (TTM) 15.96
Price/book 2.39
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 15.3
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 15.9
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Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2006 - - - - - -
Q2 2006 - - - - - -
Q3 2006 - - - - - -
Q4 2006 - - - - - -
Q1 2007 - - - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - - - -
Q2 2008 - - - - (0.86) -
Q3 2008 - - - - (0.26) -
Q4 2008 - - - - (0.73) -
Q1 2009 - - - - (0.66) -
Q2 2009 - - - - (1.10) (28.1 %)
Q3 2009 - - - - (2.13) (736.9 %)
Q4 2009 - - - - (7.12) (877.3 %)
Q1 2010 - - - - (3.35) (403.8 %)
Q2 2010 - - - - (2.33) (111.0 %)
Q3 2010 - - - - (1.93) 9.4 %
Q4 2010 - - - - (6.60) 7.2 %
Q1 2011 - - - - (4.21) (25.7 %)
Q2 2011 - - - - (6.79) (191.8 %)
Q3 2011 - - - - (5.39) (178.7 %)
Q4 2011 - - - - (30.75) (365.7 %)
Q1 2012 - - - - (22.64) (438.2 %)
Q2 2012 - - - - (41.82) (516.3 %)
Q3 2012 - - - - (32.71) (506.9 %)
Q4 2012 857.88 - (478.86) - (585.13) (1,803.0 %)
Q1 2013 689.10 - 172.39 - 61.30 370.8 %
Q2 2013 1,144.23 - 222.85 - 83.47 299.6 %
Q3 2013 1,117.37 - (38.76) - (170.86) (422.3 %)
Q4 2013 1,485.98 73.2 % 370.03 177.3 % 191.52 132.7 %
Q1 2014 1,709.95 148.1 % 456.16 164.6 % 280.85 358.1 %
Q2 2014 1,965.81 71.8 % 560.99 151.7 % 365.21 337.5 %
Q3 2014 1,952.47 74.7 % 668.53 1824.8 % 453.22 365.3 %
Q4 2014 2,230.28 50.1 % 613.39 65.8 % 406.50 112.3 %
Q1 2015 1,770.75 3.6 % 439.57 (3.6 %) 233.11 (17.0 %)
Q2 2015 1,967.02 0.1 % 738.14 31.6 % 565.00 54.7 %
Q3 2015 1,911.70 (2.1 %) 757.82 13.4 % 591.93 30.6 %
Q4 2015 1,654.69 (25.8 %) 546.25 (10.9 %) 372.54 (8.4 %)
2015 7,304.17 (7.1 %) 2,481.77 7.9 % 1,762.58 17.1 %


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2006 - - - - - -
Q2 2006 - - - - - -
Q3 2006 - - - - - -
Q4 2006 - - - - - -
Q1 2007 - - - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - - - -
Q2 2008 4.13 - 0.01 (16.00) 20.12 0.04
Q3 2008 5.40 - 0.01 (6.00) 11.40 0.02
Q4 2008 8.27 - 0.02 (2.77) 11.03 0.02
Q1 2009 (7.87) - (0.02) - (7.87) (0.02)
Q2 2009 (12.36) (399.3 %) (0.03) - (12.36) (0.03)
Q3 2009 (19.21) (455.5 %) (0.04) (5.55) (13.66) (0.03)
Q4 2009 (21.15) (355.9 %) (0.04) (8.61) (12.55) (0.03)
Q1 2010 (42.94) (445.6 %) (0.09) - (42.94) (0.09)
Q2 2010 (37.62) (204.3 %) (0.08) - (37.62) (0.08)
Q3 2010 (3.45) 82.0 % (0.01) - (3.45) (0.01)
Q4 2010 41.38 295.6 % 0.09 - 41.38 0.09
Q1 2011 (10.52) 75.5 % (0.02) - (10.52) (0.02)
Q2 2011 (12.37) 67.1 % (0.03) - (12.37) (0.03)
Q3 2011 (12.59) (264.5 %) (0.03) - (12.59) (0.03)
Q4 2011 (28.63) (169.2 %) (0.06) - (28.63) (0.06)
Q1 2012 (21.63) (105.6 %) (0.05) - (21.63) (0.05)
Q2 2012 (35.79) (189.4 %) (0.07) - (35.79) (0.07)
Q3 2012 (0.13) 99.0 % 0.00 - (0.13) 0.00
Q4 2012 (405.99) (1,318.2 %) (0.85) - (405.99) (0.85)
Q1 2013 (1.33) 93.8 % 0.00 - (1.33) 0.00
Q2 2013 10.84 130.3 % 0.02 - 10.84 0.02
Q3 2013 (150.21) (120,064.0 %) (0.31) - (150.21) (0.31)
Q4 2013 74.57 118.4 % 0.16 - 74.57 0.16
Q1 2014 141.02 10678.9 % 0.29 - 141.02 0.29
Q2 2014 197.03 1717.8 % 0.41 - 197.03 0.41
Q3 2014 244.19 262.6 % 0.51 - 244.19 0.51
Q4 2014 192.53 158.2 % 0.40 - 192.53 0.40
Q1 2015 101.84 (27.8 %) 0.21 - 101.84 0.21
Q2 2015 305.39 55.0 % 0.64 - 305.39 0.64
Q3 2015 321.10 31.5 % 0.67 - 321.10 0.67
Q4 2015 178.30 (7.4 %) 0.37 - 178.30 0.37
2015 906.89 17.1 % 1.89 - 906.89 1.89

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2006 - - -
Q2 2006 - - -
Q3 2006 - - -
Q4 2006 - - -
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 - - -
Q4 2009 - - -
Q1 2010 - - -
Q2 2010 - - -
Q3 2010 - - -
Q4 2010 - - -
Q1 2011 - - -
Q2 2011 - - -
Q3 2011 - - -
Q4 2011 - - -
Q1 2012 - - -
Q2 2012 - - -
Q3 2012 - - -
Q4 2012 (55.82 %) (56.03 %) (54.03 %)
Q1 2013 (19.81 %) (12.88 %) (28.65 %)
Q2 2013 (3.11 %) 5.55 % (14.74 %)
Q3 2013 (3.21 %) 5.64 % (14.35 %)
Q4 2013 16.38 % 22.19 % (1.49 %)
Q1 2014 18.51 % 22.23 % 1.40 %
Q2 2014 21.47 % 23.54 % 4.18 %
Q3 2014 28.90 % 29.39 % 9.23 %
Q4 2014 29.26 % 29.67 % 9.86 %
Q1 2015 28.82 % 28.79 % 9.29 %
Q2 2015 31.05 % 31.20 % 10.66 %
Q3 2015 32.35 % 33.43 % 11.69 %
Q4 2015 33.98 % 35.38 % 12.41 %
2015 33.98 % 35.38 % 12.42 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2006 - - - -
Q2 2006 - - - -
Q3 2006 - - - -
Q4 2006 - - - -
Q1 2007 - - - -
Q2 2007 - - - -
Q3 2007 - - - -
Q4 2007 - - - -
Q1 2008 - - - -
Q2 2008 480.00 - - 4.59
Q3 2008 480.00 - - 4.60
Q4 2008 480.00 - - 4.62
Q1 2009 480.00 0.02 0.07 4.60
Q2 2009 480.00 (0.01) 0.00 4.58
Q3 2009 480.00 (0.06) (0.05) 9.95
Q4 2009 480.00 (0.13) (0.10) 9.91
Q1 2010 480.00 (0.20) (0.17) 9.82
Q2 2010 480.00 (0.25) (0.22) 9.74
Q3 2010 480.00 (0.22) (0.20) 9.74
Q4 2010 480.00 (0.09) (0.09) 9.82
Q1 2011 480.00 (0.02) (0.02) 9.80
Q2 2011 480.00 0.03 0.03 9.77
Q3 2011 480.00 0.01 0.01 9.75
Q4 2011 480.00 (0.13) (0.13) 9.69
Q1 2012 480.00 (0.16) (0.16) 9.64
Q2 2012 480.00 (0.21) (0.21) 9.57
Q3 2012 480.00 (0.18) (0.18) 9.57
Q4 2012 480.00 (0.97) (0.97) 8.72
Q1 2013 480.00 (0.92) (0.92) 8.72
Q2 2013 480.00 (0.83) (0.83) 8.74
Q3 2013 480.00 (1.14) (1.14) 8.43
Q4 2013 480.00 (0.14) (0.14) 8.59
Q1 2014 480.00 0.16 0.16 8.88
Q2 2014 480.00 0.55 0.55 9.29
Q3 2014 480.00 1.37 1.37 9.80
Q4 2014 480.00 1.61 1.61 10.20
Q1 2015 480.00 1.53 1.53 10.41
Q2 2015 480.00 1.76 1.76 11.05
Q3 2015 480.00 1.92 1.92 11.72
Q4 2015 480.00 1.89 1.89 12.09

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2006 - - -
Q2 2006 - - -
Q3 2006 - - -
Q4 2006 - - -
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 NEG NEG 1.53
Q4 2009 NEG NEG 1.57
Q1 2010 NEG NEG 1.55
Q2 2010 NEG NEG 1.53
Q3 2010 NEG NEG 1.82
Q4 2010 NEG NEG 2.29
Q1 2011 NEG NEG 2.46
Q2 2011 More than 100 More than 100 2.27
Q3 2011 More than 100 More than 100 2.30
Q4 2011 NEG NEG 2.12
Q1 2012 NEG NEG 2.70
Q2 2012 NEG NEG 2.08
Q3 2012 NEG NEG 2.29
Q4 2012 NEG NEG 2.29
Q1 2013 NEG NEG 2.33
Q2 2013 NEG NEG 2.60
Q3 2013 NEG NEG 2.49
Q4 2013 NEG NEG 2.98
Q1 2014 More than 100 More than 100 3.18
Q2 2014 59.70 59.70 3.51
Q3 2014 26.09 26.09 3.64
Q4 2014 13.57 13.57 2.15
Q1 2015 14.36 14.36 2.11
Q2 2015 14.21 14.21 2.26
Q3 2015 9.67 9.67 1.58
Q4 2015 8.84 8.84 1.38

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q4 2015 (e) Q4 2015 (a) Change‬
Average 236.50 178.30 (24.6 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q4 2015 (e) Q4 2015 (a) Change
Riyad Capital 196.00 178.30 (9.0) %
SNB Capital 233.00 178.30 (23.5) %
AlJazira Capital 247.00 178.30 (27.8) %
SFC 270.00 178.30 (34.0) %

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