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Saudi banks are estimated to make a combined profit of SAR 10.9 billion in the final quarter of 2017, up 35 percent year-on-year (YoY), but down by 4 percent quarter-on-quarter (QoQ), according to research estimates compiled by Argaam.
Market blue chip Al Rajhi Bank is estimated to make a net profit of SAR 2.32 billion, rising 13.6 YoY in Q4.
National Commercial Bank (NCB) is forecasted to post SAR 2.3 billion in net profit, edging up 0.9 percent YoY.
Riyad Bank’s profit is expected to nearly triple to SAR 863.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2017, while Banque Saudi Fransi’s (BSF) net profit is seen 147.5 percent higher YoY at SAR 925.7 million.
Alinma Bank’s net earnings are expected to hike by 41.8 percent YoY to SAR 553.2 million.
Alawwal Bank is estimated to turn profitable in Q4 2017, recording net earnings of SAR 287.3 million, versus net losses of SAR 249.3 million in the same period last year.
Meanwhile, Saudi Investment Bank (SAIB) is projected to report a profit decline of 8.8 percent to SAR 275.50 million in the fourth quarter.
Company | No. of Analysts | 2016 - Q4 (a) | 2017 - Q4 (e) | Difference |
ALRAJHI | 8 | 2,047.27 | 2,325.87 | 13.6 % |
ALINMA | 8 | 390.22 | 553.17 | 41.8 % |
ALBILAD | 6 | 221.52 | 255.85 | 15.5 % |
ANB | 5 | 565.06 | 702.64 | 24.3 % |
BJAZ | 5 | 152.43 | 229.80 | 50.8 % |
SAB | 5 | 606.58 | 978.07 | 61.2 % |
SAMBA | 5 | 1,089.41 | 1,206.09 | 10.7 % |
BSF | 5 | 374.01 | 925.66 | 147.5 % |
RIBL | 4 | 293.37 | 863.55 | 194.4 % |
Alawwal | 4 | (249.34) | 287.29 | 215.2 % |
SNB | 4 | 2,286.72 | 2,306.75 | 0.9 % |
SAIB | 2 | 302.17 | 275.50 | (8.8 %) |
Total | 8 | 8,079.41 | 10910.24 | 35.0 % |
Among Saudi research firms, Osool & Bakheet Investment Company (OBIC) issued profit forecasts for the whole sector, while NCB Capital and Alistithmar Capital issued forecasts for 11 lenders each.
Estimates per Analyst
OSOOL AND BAKHEET | Alistithmar Capital | SNB Capital | Riyad Capital | Sico | Value Capital | AlJazira Capital | Albilad Capital | Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALRAJHI | 2,400.00 | 2,307.36 | 2,369.00 | 2,315.00 | 2,247.00 | 2,326.80 | 2,343.80 | 2,298.00 | 2,325.87 |
ALINMA | 542.30 | 598.98 | 555.00 | 557.00 | 540.00 | 517.40 | 554.70 | 560.00 | 553.17 |
ALBILAD | 239.30 | 252.38 | 245.00 | 268.00 | - | 269.40 | 261.00 | - | 255.85 |
ANB | 756.80 | 706.40 | 729.00 | 675.00 | 646.00 | - | - | - | 702.64 |
BJAZ | 206.70 | 233.91 | 230.00 | - | - | 242.40 | - | 236.00 | 229.80 |
SAB | 957.20 | 993.15 | 955.00 | 998.00 | 987.00 | - | - | - | 978.07 |
SAMBA | 1,131.20 | 1,164.26 | 1,206.00 | 1,283.00 | 1,246.00 | - | - | - | 1,206.09 |
BSF | 965.70 | 876.61 | 850.00 | 976.00 | 960.00 | - | - | - | 925.66 |
RIBL | 850.00 | 883.18 | 865.00 | - | 856.00 | - | - | - | 863.55 |
Alawwal | 250.00 | 278.14 | 281.00 | 340.00 | - | - | - | - | 287.29 |
SNB | 2,349.60 | 2,385.40 | - | 2,330.00 | 2,162.00 | - | - | - | 2,306.75 |
SAIB | 250.00 | - | 301.00 | - | - | - | - | - | 275.50 |
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Market Index
TASI | 11,840.52 | (27.40) | (0.23 %) |
Stock Prices
ALRAJHI | 93.60 | 0.50 | 0.54% |
ALBILAD | 36.05 | (0.10) | (0.28%) |
ANB | 19.54 | (0.10) | (0.51%) |
BJAZ | 16.60 | (0.10) | (0.60%) |
RIBL | 26.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% |
SAB | 31.70 | (0.20) | (0.63%) |
SAMBA | 39.05 | 1.70 | 4.62% |
BSF | 31.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% |
Alawwal | 19.58 | 0.28 | 1.45% |
SAIB | 13.86 | (0.04) | (0.29%) |
ALINMA | 27.85 | 0.20 | 0.73% |
SNB | 33.15 | (0.20) | (0.60%) |
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