Saudi GDP grows by 2.8% in Q3 2024

08/12/2024 Argaam Special
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's flag

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's flag


Saudi Arabia’s real GDP increased by 2.8% in the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, according to the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT).

 

Oil activities slightly rose by 0.05% year-on-year (YoY), while non-oil activities improved by 4% YoY. Additionally, government activities grew by 3.1% YoY.

 

GASTAT noted that it adopted a chain-linking methodology for national accounts for calculating real GDP, replacing the previous fixed-base year method. This new approach was used for the Q4 2023 and 2023 annual reports.
The chain-linking methodology is a dynamic approach for measuring economic growth rates, specifically for estimating real growth rates in national accounts.
It uses weights and prices from the previous year for the year of measurement, enabling assessments over consecutive periods and providing a more accurate reflection of current economic conditions.

 

GDP by Regulatory Sectors (Chain-Linking Methodology) (SAR bln)

Sector

 

Q3 2023

Q3 2024

Change (%)

Oil Sector

 

250.35

250.65

+0.1%

Non-Oil Sector

Government Sector

165.39

170.82

+3.3%

Private Sector

406.42

423.93

+4.3%

Total

572.21

595.38

+4.0%

Gross Value Added

816.48

839.26

+2.8%

Net Taxes on Products

27.14

27.86

+2.6%

GDP

843.68

867.10

+2.8%

*The chain-linking methodology is a non-additive model, meaning that the subcomponents do not necessarily sum up to the total.

 

In Q3 2024, the GDP at current prices increased by 1% to about SAR 1 trillion compared to the same period in 2023.
 

The oil sector at current prices declined by 10.1% YoY, while the non-oil sector grew by 7.1% YoY. The government sector also rose by 6.1% YoY.

 

The table below shows the GDP by regulatory sectors at current prices:

 

GDP by Regulatory Sectors (SAR bln)

Sector

 

Q3 2023

Q3 2024

Change (%)

Oil Sector

 

321.90

289.53

(10.1%)

Non-Oil Sector

Government Sector

179.60

190.53

+6.1%

 

Private Sector

436.99

469.97

+7.5%

Total

616.59

660.50

+7.1%

Gross Value Added

938.49

950.03

+1.2%

Net Taxes on Products

58.34

57.08

(2.2%)

GDP

996.83

1,007.11

+1.0%

 

The table below indicates Saudi GDP growth since 2018:

 

GDP Growth (Chain-Linking Methodology)

Period

QoQ with Seasonal Adjustments

YoY

Q1 2018

+1.8%

+2.4%

Q2 2018

+0.1%

+2.9%

Q3 2018

+1.0%

+3.1%

Q4 2018

+1.0%

+4.3%

Q1 2019

(0.8%)

+1.3%

Q2 2019

+0.7%

+1.6%

Q3 2019

(0.3%)

+0.9%

Q4 2019

+1.0%

+2.6%

Q1 2020

(2.7%)

(0.8%)

Q2 2020

(4.0%)

(7.1%)

Q3 2020

+2.0%

(3.8%)

Q4 2020

+1.5%

(2.7%)

Q1 2021

+0.4%

+0.5%

Q2 2021

+1.6%

+5.1%

Q3 2021

+3.1%

+6.3%

Q4 2021

+2.0%

+8.4%

Q1 2022

+2.2%

+7.5%

Q2 2022

+1.2%

+9.1%

Q3 2022

+1.2%

+8.0%

Q4 2022

+1.5%

+5.6%

Q1 2023

(1.5%)

+3.2%

Q2 2023

--

+1.7%

Q3 2023

(2.3%)

(3.2%)

Q4 2023

(0.6%)

(4.3%)

Q1 2024

+1.4%

(1.7%)

Q2 2024

+1.4%

(0.3%)

Q3 2024

+0.9%

+2.8%

*Data updated in line with GASTAT reports 

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