Gulf markets end 2017 on mixed note; Qatar falls 18%

02/01/2018 Argaam Special

 

GCC stock markets closed last year on a mixed note, with the Qatari market the worst performer, driven by a diplomatic rift with other countries in the region.

 

The Qatar Stock Exchange (QE) fell 18.3 percent, its weakest performance since 2008, data compiled by Argaam showed.

 

Muscat Securities Market (MSM) came second, slumping 12.7 percent, followed by Dubai Financial Market (DFM) and Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX), which dropped 4.6 percent and 3.3 percent respectively.

 

Meanwhile, Kuwait Stock Exchange (KSE) was the top gainer, climbing 11.5 percent, followed by Bahrain Bourse (BHB) (7 percent) and the Saudi Stock Exchange (0.2 percent).

 

Most GCC markets started the new year on a higher note, led by KSE, which leapt 19 percent. Meanwhile, Tadawul dropped 2 percent during yesterday’s trading session.

 

In Q2 2017, the GCC bourses with the exception of Tadawul reported declines due to lack of fresh catalysts, the slump in oil prices to below $50/bbl, the holy month of Ramadan, as well as summer vacation which is characterized by weak activity.

 

The Saudi bourse rose 6 percent in the second quarter of last year, after Kingdom was added to the MSCI emerging market watch list.

 

In Q3 2017, Gulf bourses extended their downtrend, with the exception of DFM and MSM. Tadawul also retreated, ending the third quarter 2 percent lower.

 

Most markets remained weak in the last quarter, but Bahrain Bourse and QE rose 4 and 3 percent respectively.

 

Gulf Markets Performance in 2017

Market

2016

2017

Variation (points)

Variation%

Qatar

10,437

8,526

(1,911)

(18.3%)

Muscat

5,783

5,099

(684)

(12.7%)

Dubai

3,531

3,370

(161)

(4.6%)

Abu Dhabi

4,546

4,398

(148)

(3.3%)

Saudi Arabia

7,210

7,226

+16

+0.2%

Bahrain

1,220

1,332

+112

+9.0%

Kuwait

5,748

6,408

+660

+11.5%

 

GCC markets recorded a combined turnover of $310.4 billion, down 21 percent year-on-year (YoY) in 2017.

 

Tadawul’s trading volumes tumbled 28 percent YoY, followed by DFM (down 15 percent to $31.2 billion).

 

Meanwhile, the aggregate market capitalization of GCC bourses edged up 1 percent YoY to $934.2 billion last year.

 

Bahrain Bourse recorded the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 9x, while Tadawul traded at a P/E of 15.6x last year.

 

Gulf Markets Indices in 2017

Market

Market Capitalization (USD bln)

P/E Ratio (Time)

P/B Ratio (Time)

2016

2017

2016

2017

2016

2017

Saudi Arabia

447.5

449.6

17.6

15.6

1.7

1.7

Qatar

154.8

129.6

14.2

13.0

1.6

1.3

Kuwait

76.8

90.9

15.7

12.7

1.0

1.1

Abu Dhabi

119.2

124.5

13.3

12.7

1.6

1.5

Dubai

82.1

100.4

11.0

16.5

1.3

1.5

Muscat

20.5

18.7

12.1

12.3

1.2

1.1

Bahrain

19.6

20.3

11.2

9.0

0.8

0.9

 

Amongst the GCC’s top 20 blue chip stocks, Saudi Arabian Mining Co. (Maaden), Kuwait Finance House (KFH) and National Commercial Bank (NCB) reported higher market capitalization.

 

Meanwhile, market capitalization of Jabal Omar Development Co. (JODC) and Almarai Co. dropped 20 percent each last year.

 

Top 20 Companies by Market Capitalization (USD million)

Company

Market

2016

2017

Variation%

SABIC

Saudi Arabia

73,382

81,492

+11%

Etisalat

Abu Dhabi

43,945

41,457

(6%)

STC

Saudi Arabia

38,790

36,599

(6%)

QNB

Qatar

36,524

31,669

(13%)

NBAD

Abu Dhabi

30,861

30,427

(1%)

NCB

Saudi Arabia

22,874

28,601

+25%

Al Rajhi

Saudi Arabia

27,293

27,917

+2%

SEC

Saudi Arabia

24,771

23,349

(6%)

Maaden

Saudi Arabia

12,211

16,305

+34%

Industries Qatar

Qatar

18,867

16,008

(15%)

NBK

Kuwait

13,554

15,940

+18%

Jabal Omar

Saudi Arabia

18,521

14,725

(20%)

Emaar

Dubai

13,711

13,535

(1%)

SAMBA

Saudi Arabia

13,143

12,429

(5%)

Emirates NBD

Dubai

12,732

12,414

(2%)

Kuwait Finance House

Kuwait

9,383

12,288

+31%

Almarai

Saudi Arabia

14,396

11,504

(20%)

SABB

Saudi Arabia

10,151

10,997

+8%

Riyad Bank

Saudi Arabia

9,380

10,085

+8%

ADCB

Abu Dhabi

10,520

9,629

(8%)

 

Tadawul led other GCC markets in terms of top gainers. The list included nine Saudi companies, six Kuwaiti firms, two from Dubai, and one each from Abu Dhabi, Muscat and Oman.

 

Muscat’s Oman Fisheries Co. came first, surging 141 percent. It was followed by Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Co. and Al Madar Finance & Investment Co. which soared by 134 percent and 108 percent consecutively.

                                                         

Top 20 Gainers in 2017

Stock

Market

2016*

2017*

Variation%

Oman Fisheries

Muscat

0.061

0.147

+141%

Dar Al Arkan

Saudi Arabia

6.16

14.4

+134%

MADAR

Kuwait

0.012

0.025

+108%

Salama

Saudi Arabia

12.33

24.85

+102%

Alba

Bahrain

0.320

0.615

+92%

Research & Marketing

Saudi Arabia

33.88

59.16

+75%

NAPESCO

Kuwait

0.472

0.792

+68%

Aljazira REIT

Saudi Arabia

11

17.55

+60%

ALAFCO

Kuwait

0.240

0.375

+56%

ALIMTIAZ

Kuwait

0.102

0.158

+55%

JAZADCO

Saudi Arabia

11.09

17.03

+54%

eXtra

Saudi Arabia

30.85

47.35

+53%

Al Rajhi Takaful

Saudi Arabia

38.57

59.1

+53%

Amanat Holdings

Dubai

0.981

1.480

+51%

DANA Gas

Abu Dhabi

0.54

0.81

+50%

EDU

Kuwait

0.206

0.309

+50%

AICC

Saudi Arabia

11.3

16.81

+49%

Wethaq

Kuwait

0.031

0.045

+45%

Walaa

Saudi Arabia

22.41

32.23

+44%

Al Qurain

Kuwait

0.230

0.329

+43%

* Price in currencies of each country.

 

Stocks which recorded the biggest declines in 2017 included the Mediterranean and Gulf Insurance and Reinsurance Co., which plunged 59 percent, Saudi Industrial Export Co. (58 percent), in addition to four Kuwaiti firms, three each from Qatar and Dubai, and two from Muscat.

 

Top 20 Losers in 2017

Stock

Market

2016*

2017*

Variation%

Hilal Cement

Kuwait

0.980

0.156

(84%)

Marka

Dubai

1.530

0.551

(64%)

MedGulf

Saudi Arabia

67.63

27.69

(59%)

Arabtec Holding

Dubai

5.775

2.380

(59%)

SIECO

Saudi Arabia

356.5

149.62

(58%)

Food

Kuwait

2.600

1.112

(57%)

DXB Entertainments

Dubai

1.300

0.635

(51%)

Nama

Saudi Arabia

33.88

17.6

(48%)

Raysut Cement

Muscut

1.480

0.780

(47%)

Equipment

Kuwait

0.058

0.033

(43%)

Gulf International

Qatar

31.1

17.7

(43%)

Remal

Kuwait

0.067

0.039

(42%)

Milaha

Qatar

95.6

55.94

(41%)

Southern Cement

Saudi Arabia

82.29

48.4

(41%)

SGS

Saudi Arabia

66.16

39.31

(41%)

Al Maha Ceramics

Muscut

0.477

0.292

(39%)

Islamic Holding

Qatar

61

37.5

(39%)

Aslak

Saudi Arabia

25.73

15.89

(38%)

Mobily

Saudi Arabia

23.99

14.83

(38%)

Al Sagr

Saudi Arabia

39.63

24.54

(38%)

* Price in currencies of each country.                                                                         

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