Financial Results : Advanced Petrochemical’s net profit drops 14% in FY17

Advanced Petrochemical’s net profit drops 14% in FY17

14/01/2018 Argaam Exclusive

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Advanced Petrochemical Co., which produces polypropylene in Saudi Arabia, reported a net profit of SAR 631 million for fiscal year 2017, a 13.7 percent year-on-year (YoY) fall, due to a significant increase in feedstock costs despite higher revenue from the sales of finished products.

 

The imminent expiry of the PDH catalyst shelf life, conversion factor and productivity also led to a marginal rise in production costs. 



Financials (M)

Item 2016 2017 Change‬
Revenues 2,139.37 2,384.54 11.5 %
Gross Income 858.46 738.12 (14.0 %)
Operating Income 728.12 619.66 (14.9 %)
Net Income 731.88 631.12 (13.8 %)
Average Shares 260.00 260.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 2.81 2.43 (13.8 %)


Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q4 2016 Q4 2017 Change‬
Revenues 576.37 637.48 10.6 %
Gross Income 228.95 152.79 (33.3 %)
Operating Income 188.65 115.24 (38.9 %)
Net Income 207.81 103.83 (50.0 %)
Average Shares 260.00 260.00 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.80 0.40 (50.0 %)


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2008 - - - - (0.05) 37.8 %
Q2 2008 319.83 - 89.11 - 84.19 22371.7 %
Q3 2008 682.50 - 230.29 - 222.51 332206.0 %
Q4 2008 456.85 - (39.87) - (52.56) (66,427.8 %)
Q1 2009 369.52 - 63.52 - 54.28 118100.0 %
Q2 2009 344.26 7.6 % 60.92 (31.6 %) 47.08 (44.1 %)
Q3 2009 361.50 (47.0 %) 41.02 (82.2 %) 32.21 (85.5 %)
Q4 2009 391.55 (14.3 %) 52.47 231.6 % 39.37 174.9 %
Q1 2010 464.49 25.7 % 69.23 9.0 % 61.02 12.4 %
Q2 2010 450.82 31.0 % 81.56 33.9 % 72.00 52.9 %
Q3 2010 545.20 50.8 % 136.90 233.7 % 128.74 299.7 %
Q4 2010 570.45 45.7 % 107.81 105.5 % 96.42 144.9 %
Q1 2011 667.51 43.7 % 145.05 109.5 % 135.83 122.6 %
Q2 2011 742.50 64.7 % 170.14 108.6 % 160.63 123.1 %
Q3 2011 717.07 31.5 % 150.68 10.1 % 141.19 9.7 %
Q4 2011 663.84 16.4 % 109.88 1.9 % 96.09 (0.3 %)
Q1 2012 586.24 (12.2 %) 69.36 (52.2 %) 60.63 (55.4 %)
Q2 2012 456.91 (38.5 %) 67.84 (60.1 %) 58.09 (63.8 %)
Q3 2012 649.29 (9.5 %) 114.76 (23.8 %) 105.51 (25.3 %)
Q4 2012 780.00 17.5 % 134.53 22.4 % 122.17 27.1 %
Q1 2013 641.52 9.4 % 132.77 91.4 % 121.75 100.8 %
Q2 2013 685.67 50.1 % 150.60 122.0 % 140.13 141.2 %
Q3 2013 694.25 6.9 % 154.12 34.3 % 143.53 36.0 %
Q4 2013 764.17 (2.0 %) 173.96 29.3 % 160.10 31.0 %
Q1 2014 669.17 4.3 % 150.42 13.3 % 138.60 13.8 %
Q2 2014 807.63 17.8 % 192.85 28.0 % 183.19 30.7 %
Q3 2014 819.76 18.1 % 205.69 33.5 % 196.90 37.2 %
Q4 2014 739.82 (3.2 %) 231.78 33.2 % 216.42 35.2 %
Q1 2015 467.94 (30.1 %) 111.12 (26.1 %) 100.34 (27.6 %)
Q2 2015 735.37 (8.9 %) 264.00 36.9 % 253.53 38.4 %
Q3 2015 631.98 (22.9 %) 248.32 20.7 % 240.55 22.2 %
Q4 2015 541.73 (26.8 %) 160.72 (30.7 %) 148.10 (31.6 %)
Q1 2016 488.07 4.3 % 178.90 61.0 % 147.77 47.3 %
Q2 2016 546.41 (25.7 %) 224.96 (14.8 %) 195.04 (23.1 %)
Q3 2016 528.53 (16.4 %) 225.65 (9.1 %) 196.67 (18.2 %)
Q4 2016 576.37 6.4 % 228.95 42.5 % 188.65 27.4 %
Q1 2017 526.24 7.8 % 143.25 (19.9 %) 117.00 (20.8 %)
Q2 2017 604.41 10.6 % 220.13 (2.1 %) 192.07 (1.5 %)
Q3 2017 616.41 16.6 % 221.95 (1.6 %) 195.36 (0.7 %)
Q4 2017 637.48 10.6 % 152.79 (33.3 %) 115.24 (38.9 %)
2017 2,384.54 11.5 % 738.12 (14.0 %) 619.66 (14.9 %)


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2008 (0.05) (102.9 %) 0.00 - (0.05) 0.00
Q2 2008 75.90 12281.2 % 0.29 - 75.90 0.29
Q3 2008 210.42 334096.8 % 0.81 - 210.42 0.81
Q4 2008 (76.12) (95,045.0 %) (0.29) - (76.12) (0.29)
Q1 2009 42.87 87591.8 % 0.16 - 42.87 0.16
Q2 2009 34.63 (54.4 %) 0.13 - 34.63 0.13
Q3 2009 20.88 (90.1 %) 0.08 - 20.88 0.08
Q4 2009 28.74 137.8 % 0.11 - 28.74 0.11
Q1 2010 52.57 22.6 % 0.20 - 52.57 0.20
Q2 2010 65.26 88.4 % 0.25 - 65.26 0.25
Q3 2010 121.14 480.0 % 0.47 - 121.14 0.47
Q4 2010 89.36 211.0 % 0.34 - 89.36 0.34
Q1 2011 131.11 149.4 % 0.50 - 131.11 0.50
Q2 2011 155.61 138.5 % 0.60 - 155.61 0.60
Q3 2011 135.49 11.9 % 0.52 - 135.49 0.52
Q4 2011 90.60 1.4 % 0.35 - 90.60 0.35
Q1 2012 57.09 (56.5 %) 0.22 - 57.09 0.22
Q2 2012 53.88 (65.4 %) 0.21 - 53.88 0.21
Q3 2012 100.26 (26.0 %) 0.39 - 100.26 0.39
Q4 2012 117.01 29.2 % 0.45 - 117.01 0.45
Q1 2013 117.94 106.6 % 0.45 - 117.94 0.45
Q2 2013 136.67 153.7 % 0.53 - 136.67 0.53
Q3 2013 140.96 40.6 % 0.54 - 140.96 0.54
Q4 2013 161.29 37.9 % 0.62 - 161.29 0.62
Q1 2014 137.45 16.5 % 0.53 1.20 136.26 0.52
Q2 2014 184.63 35.1 % 0.71 4.45 180.19 0.69
Q3 2014 228.74 62.3 % 0.88 34.57 194.17 0.75
Q4 2014 200.13 24.1 % 0.77 (13.13) 213.26 0.82
Q1 2015 89.63 (34.8 %) 0.34 - 89.63 0.34
Q2 2015 243.15 31.7 % 0.94 - 243.15 0.94
Q3 2015 234.18 2.4 % 0.90 - 234.18 0.90
Q4 2015 146.08 (27.0 %) 0.56 - 146.08 0.56
Q1 2016 142.86 59.4 % 0.55 (3.42) 146.28 0.56
Q2 2016 192.11 (21.0 %) 0.74 (6.76) 198.87 0.76
Q3 2016 189.10 (19.2 %) 0.73 (14.00) 203.11 0.78
Q4 2016 207.81 42.3 % 0.80 6.98 200.83 0.77
Q1 2017 124.37 (12.9 %) 0.48 - 124.37 0.48
Q2 2017 194.51 1.2 % 0.75 - 194.51 0.75
Q3 2017 208.41 10.2 % 0.80 - 208.41 0.80
Q4 2017 103.83 (50.0 %) 0.40 - 103.83 0.40
2017 631.12 (13.8 %) 2.43 - 631.12 2.43

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 27.86 % 34.47 % 23.67 %
Q3 2008 31.87 % 37.22 % 28.55 %
Q4 2008 19.16 % 25.06 % 14.40 %
Q1 2009 18.76 % 25.27 % 13.84 %
Q2 2009 16.99 % 24.08 % 11.43 %
Q3 2009 8.20 % 17.20 % 1.45 %
Q4 2009 14.86 % 24.34 % 8.67 %
Q1 2010 14.32 % 23.63 % 8.76 %
Q2 2010 14.64 % 23.92 % 10.04 %
Q3 2010 18.37 % 27.17 % 14.45 %
Q4 2010 19.47 % 28.05 % 16.17 %
Q1 2011 21.10 % 29.07 % 18.21 %
Q2 2011 22.17 % 29.22 % 19.69 %
Q3 2011 21.27 % 27.74 % 18.96 %
Q4 2011 20.63 % 26.92 % 18.37 %
Q1 2012 18.45 % 24.84 % 16.19 %
Q2 2012 16.41 % 22.93 % 13.90 %
Q3 2012 15.36 % 22.01 % 12.81 %
Q4 2012 15.63 % 21.99 % 13.28 %
Q1 2013 17.80 % 24.04 % 15.39 %
Q2 2013 19.32 % 25.56 % 17.12 %
Q3 2013 20.42 % 26.53 % 18.30 %
Q4 2013 21.95 % 27.75 % 19.99 %
Q1 2014 22.36 % 28.05 % 20.45 %
Q2 2014 22.87 % 28.30 % 21.08 %
Q3 2014 23.62 % 28.85 % 21.95 %
Q4 2014 25.71 % 31.08 % 23.84 %
Q1 2015 26.15 % 31.74 % 23.89 %
Q2 2015 29.41 % 35.36 % 26.79 %
Q3 2015 33.21 % 39.71 % 30.30 %
Q4 2015 32.99 % 40.09 % 30.00 %
Q1 2016 35.54 % 41.88 % 32.11 %
Q2 2016 36.81 % 42.47 % 32.85 %
Q3 2016 37.55 % 41.89 % 32.99 %
Q4 2016 40.13 % 42.70 % 35.01 %
Q1 2017 37.79 % 40.45 % 33.39 %
Q2 2017 36.59 % 39.17 % 32.33 %
Q3 2017 35.05 % 37.93 % 31.34 %
Q4 2017 30.95 % 34.04 % 26.47 %
2017 30.95 % 34.04 % 26.47 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2008 260.00 0.00 0.00 5.45
Q2 2008 260.00 0.29 0.29 5.73
Q3 2008 260.00 1.10 1.10 6.52
Q4 2008 260.00 0.81 0.81 6.22
Q1 2009 260.00 0.97 0.97 6.38
Q2 2009 260.00 0.81 0.81 6.51
Q3 2009 260.00 0.09 0.09 6.32
Q4 2009 260.00 0.49 0.49 6.42
Q1 2010 260.00 0.53 0.53 6.35
Q2 2010 260.00 0.64 0.64 6.19
Q3 2010 260.00 1.03 1.03 6.64
Q4 2010 260.00 1.26 1.26 6.97
Q1 2011 260.00 1.56 1.56 6.91
Q2 2011 260.00 1.91 1.91 6.95
Q3 2011 260.00 1.97 1.97 7.46
Q4 2011 260.00 1.97 1.97 7.80
Q1 2012 260.00 1.69 1.69 7.47
Q2 2012 260.00 1.30 1.30 7.04
Q3 2012 260.00 1.16 1.16 7.42
Q4 2012 260.00 1.26 1.26 7.86
Q1 2013 260.00 1.50 1.50 7.67
Q2 2013 260.00 1.81 1.81 7.55
Q3 2013 260.00 1.97 1.97 8.08
Q4 2013 260.00 2.14 2.14 8.67
Q1 2014 260.00 2.22 2.21 8.42
Q2 2014 260.00 2.40 2.38 8.31
Q3 2014 260.00 2.74 2.58 8.51
Q4 2014 260.00 2.89 2.78 9.14
Q1 2015 260.00 2.70 2.60 8.58
Q2 2015 260.00 2.93 2.85 9.04
Q3 2015 260.00 2.95 3.00 9.31
Q4 2015 260.00 2.74 2.74 9.65
Q1 2016 260.00 2.95 2.96 9.15
Q2 2016 260.00 2.75 2.79 9.93
Q3 2016 260.00 2.58 2.67 10.55
Q4 2016 260.00 2.81 2.88 11.68
Q1 2017 260.00 2.74 2.80 11.22
Q2 2017 260.00 2.75 2.78 10.86
Q3 2017 260.00 2.83 2.80 11.89
Q4 2017 260.00 2.43 2.43 11.97

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2008 More than 100 More than 100 4.94
Q2 2008 More than 100 More than 100 5.44
Q3 2008 17.14 17.14 2.90
Q4 2008 10.36 10.36 1.35
Q1 2009 9.53 9.53 1.45
Q2 2009 17.36 17.36 2.17
Q3 2009 More than 100 More than 100 2.28
Q4 2009 27.69 27.69 2.11
Q1 2010 23.72 23.72 1.97
Q2 2010 17.36 17.36 1.81
Q3 2010 10.46 10.46 1.62
Q4 2010 11.71 11.71 2.12
Q1 2011 10.74 10.74 2.43
Q2 2011 9.73 9.73 2.67
Q3 2011 7.93 7.93 2.09
Q4 2011 7.89 7.89 1.99
Q1 2012 11.70 11.70 2.64
Q2 2012 12.21 12.21 2.25
Q3 2012 14.13 14.13 2.21
Q4 2012 13.09 13.09 2.10
Q1 2013 12.31 12.31 2.40
Q2 2013 11.05 11.05 2.66
Q3 2013 10.69 10.69 2.61
Q4 2013 12.02 12.02 2.97
Q1 2014 12.12 12.15 3.19
Q2 2014 11.62 11.73 3.36
Q3 2014 13.77 14.59 4.43
Q4 2014 8.78 9.11 2.77
Q1 2015 9.69 10.06 3.05
Q2 2015 12.08 12.43 3.91
Q3 2015 9.76 9.59 3.09
Q4 2015 8.68 8.68 2.47
Q1 2016 8.79 8.75 2.83
Q2 2016 10.89 10.73 3.02
Q3 2016 11.08 10.70 2.71
Q4 2016 12.36 12.08 2.98
Q1 2017 12.73 12.49 3.11
Q2 2017 12.69 12.57 3.22
Q3 2017 12.31 12.43 2.93
Q4 2017 14.32 14.32 2.90

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q4 2017 (e) Q4 2017 (a) Change‬
Average 185.80 103.83 (44.1 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q4 2017 (e) Q4 2017 (a) Change
Sico 149.00 103.83 (30.3) %
Al Rajhi Capital 160.00 103.83 (35.1) %
Riyad Capital 164.00 103.83 (36.7) %
Alistithmar Capital 188.26 103.83 (44.8) %
AlJazira Capital 192.40 103.83 (46.0) %
SNB Capital 194.00 103.83 (46.5) %
Albilad Capital 196.00 103.83 (47.0) %
Value Capital 209.70 103.83 (50.5) %
OSOOL AND BAKHEET 218.80 103.83 (52.5) %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 9,035.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 17,076.15
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 260.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 0.20
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 12.35
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) More than 100
P/E (TTM) More than 100
Price/book 2.81
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 0.4
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 1.6

Share Price

Advanced Petrochemical Co. (ADVANCED)


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