Financial Results : Yansab net profit more than doubles in 9M 2016

Yansab net profit more than doubles in 9M 2016

13/10/2016 Argaam Exclusive

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Yanbu National Petrochemical Co. (Yansab) reported a net profit of SAR 1.6 billion for the first nine months of 2016, a 109 percent year-on-year (YoY) surge attributed to higher production and sales as a result of the turnaround activities and a drop in cost of goods sold (COGS).



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2015 9m 2016 Change‬
Revenues 5,080.37 4,585.58 (9.7 %)
Gross Income 1,220.40 2,148.66 76.1 %
Operating Income 1,061.84 1,835.20 72.8 %
Net Income 814.26 1,737.37 113.4 %
Average Shares 562.50 562.50 -
EPS (Riyals) 1.45 3.09 113.4 %

Net profit for the third quarter was up 101.3 percent YoY at SAR 607.6 million, driven by higher sales volumes and lower cost of goods sold, due to lower prices of feedstock. The Q3 profit slipped 11.8 percent when compared to the previous quarter on lower sales volumes and decreasing selling prices.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Change‬
Revenues 1,800.27 1,516.80 (15.7 %)
Gross Income 434.61 688.73 58.5 %
Operating Income 381.43 591.89 55.2 %
Net Income 301.72 568.28 88.3 %
Average Shares 562.50 562.50 -
EPS (Riyals) 0.54 1.01 88.3 %


Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2007 - - - - (7.73) 21.4 %
Q2 2007 - - - - (8.24) (174.0 %)
Q3 2007 - - - - (7.18) 56.5 %
Q4 2007 - - - - (11.08) 67.2 %
Q1 2008 - - - - (6.88) 11.0 %
Q2 2008 - - - - (6.19) 25.0 %
Q3 2008 - - - - (4.94) 31.2 %
Q4 2008 - - - - (7.59) 31.5 %
Q1 2009 - - - - (8.24) (19.8 %)
Q2 2009 - - - - (6.65) (7.6 %)
Q3 2009 - - - - (7.00) (41.9 %)
Q4 2009 - - - - (7.32) 3.6 %
Q1 2010 688.59 - 325.43 - 310.39 3868.2 %
Q2 2010 1,638.22 - 632.13 - 596.04 9057.6 %
Q3 2010 1,602.88 - 501.85 - 468.66 6794.2 %
Q4 2010 1,891.84 - 710.15 - 671.41 9271.0 %
Q1 2011 2,077.28 201.7 % 891.46 173.9 % 838.06 170.0 %
Q2 2011 2,659.86 62.4 % 1,139.46 80.3 % 1,092.65 83.3 %
Q3 2011 2,497.80 55.8 % 975.77 94.4 % 952.77 103.3 %
Q4 2011 2,424.41 28.2 % 786.41 10.7 % 734.20 9.4 %
Q1 2012 2,445.86 17.7 % 906.99 1.7 % 845.49 0.9 %
Q2 2012 2,332.26 (12.3 %) 824.89 (27.6 %) 764.86 (30.0 %)
Q3 2012 2,017.60 (19.2 %) 588.27 (39.7 %) 537.12 (43.6 %)
Q4 2012 2,503.31 3.3 % 788.85 0.3 % 727.90 (0.9 %)
Q1 2013 2,168.52 (11.3 %) 800.29 (11.8 %) 744.45 (12.0 %)
Q2 2013 2,212.84 (5.1 %) 807.15 (2.2 %) 756.19 (1.1 %)
Q3 2013 2,888.72 43.2 % 1,027.75 74.7 % 957.12 78.2 %
Q4 2013 2,083.57 (16.8 %) 589.60 (25.3 %) 535.19 (26.5 %)
Q1 2014 2,317.89 6.9 % 708.29 (11.5 %) 645.24 (13.3 %)
Q2 2014 2,409.31 8.9 % 760.78 (5.7 %) 700.71 (7.3 %)
Q3 2014 2,493.73 (13.7 %) 844.76 (17.8 %) 784.45 (18.0 %)
Q4 2014 2,290.10 9.9 % 773.20 31.1 % 712.30 33.1 %
Q1 2015 1,716.78 (25.9 %) 412.75 (41.7 %) 363.99 (43.6 %)
Q2 2015 1,563.32 (35.1 %) 373.04 (51.0 %) 316.42 (54.8 %)
Q3 2015 1,800.27 (27.8 %) 434.61 (48.6 %) 381.43 (51.4 %)
Q4 2015 1,831.05 (20.0 %) 537.20 (30.5 %) 478.22 (32.9 %)
Q1 2016 1,346.43 (21.6 %) 607.27 47.1 % 504.57 38.6 %
Q2 2016 1,722.34 10.2 % 852.67 128.6 % 738.74 133.5 %
Q3 2016 1,516.80 (15.7 %) 688.73 58.5 % 591.89 55.2 %


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2007 (4.88) (106.0 %) (0.01) - (4.88) (0.01)
Q2 2007 (9.25) 92.6 % (0.02) - (9.25) (0.02)
Q3 2007 (8.19) (147.7 %) (0.01) - (8.19) (0.01)
Q4 2007 (8.11) (104.8 %) (0.01) - (8.11) (0.01)
Q1 2008 (6.88) (41.0 %) (0.01) - (6.88) (0.01)
Q2 2008 (6.19) 33.2 % (0.01) - (6.19) (0.01)
Q3 2008 (4.94) 39.7 % (0.01) - (4.94) (0.01)
Q4 2008 (7.59) 6.4 % (0.01) - (7.59) (0.01)
Q1 2009 (8.24) (19.8 %) (0.01) - (8.24) (0.01)
Q2 2009 (6.65) (7.6 %) (0.01) - (6.65) (0.01)
Q3 2009 (7.00) (41.9 %) (0.01) - (7.00) (0.01)
Q4 2009 (7.32) 3.6 % (0.01) - (7.32) (0.01)
Q1 2010 259.43 3249.6 % 0.46 - 259.43 0.46
Q2 2010 502.38 7650.1 % 0.89 - 502.38 0.89
Q3 2010 356.20 5187.8 % 0.63 - 356.20 0.63
Q4 2010 554.76 7677.7 % 0.99 - 554.76 0.99
Q1 2011 717.85 176.7 % 1.28 - 717.85 1.28
Q2 2011 963.67 91.8 % 1.71 - 963.67 1.71
Q3 2011 827.94 132.4 % 1.47 - 827.94 1.47
Q4 2011 664.88 19.8 % 1.18 - 664.88 1.18
Q1 2012 720.27 0.3 % 1.28 - 720.27 1.28
Q2 2012 649.61 (32.6 %) 1.15 - 649.61 1.15
Q3 2012 435.73 (47.4 %) 0.77 - 435.73 0.77
Q4 2012 640.77 (3.6 %) 1.14 - 640.77 1.14
Q1 2013 667.07 (7.4 %) 1.19 - 667.07 1.19
Q2 2013 670.52 3.2 % 1.19 - 670.52 1.19
Q3 2013 864.83 98.5 % 1.54 - 864.83 1.54
Q4 2013 442.23 (31.0 %) 0.79 - 442.23 0.79
Q1 2014 555.68 (16.7 %) 0.99 - 555.68 0.99
Q2 2014 613.03 (8.6 %) 1.09 - 613.03 1.09
Q3 2014 691.28 (20.1 %) 1.23 - 691.28 1.23
Q4 2014 617.75 39.7 % 1.10 - 617.75 1.10
Q1 2015 285.14 (48.7 %) 0.51 - 285.14 0.51
Q2 2015 227.40 (62.9 %) 0.40 - 227.40 0.40
Q3 2015 301.72 (56.4 %) 0.54 (0.82) 302.54 0.54
Q4 2015 393.06 (36.4 %) 0.70 (4.14) 397.20 0.71
Q1 2016 421.74 47.9 % 0.75 - 421.74 0.75
Q2 2016 747.34 228.6 % 1.33 - 747.34 1.33
Q3 2016 568.28 88.3 % 1.01 - 568.28 1.01

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2007 - - -
Q2 2007 - - -
Q3 2007 - - -
Q4 2007 - - -
Q1 2008 - - -
Q2 2008 - - -
Q3 2008 - - -
Q4 2008 - - -
Q1 2009 - - -
Q2 2009 - - -
Q3 2009 - - -
Q4 2009 - - -
Q1 2010 47.26 % 53.80 % 34.63 %
Q2 2010 41.15 % 52.45 % 32.13 %
Q3 2010 37.14 % 49.57 % 28.26 %
Q4 2010 37.27 % 49.49 % 28.73 %
Q1 2011 37.94 % 49.61 % 29.56 %
Q2 2011 39.39 % 49.60 % 31.49 %
Q3 2011 40.72 % 50.12 % 33.57 %
Q4 2011 39.27 % 47.99 % 32.86 %
Q1 2012 37.98 % 46.34 % 31.68 %
Q2 2012 36.02 % 47.12 % 29.51 %
Q3 2012 33.69 % 50.53 % 26.79 %
Q4 2012 33.43 % 58.26 % 26.31 %
Q1 2013 33.28 % 59.12 % 26.53 %
Q2 2013 33.53 % 57.16 % 27.12 %
Q3 2013 35.03 % 51.30 % 29.09 %
Q4 2013 34.48 % 43.54 % 28.27 %
Q1 2014 32.97 % 42.38 % 26.66 %
Q2 2014 31.82 % 41.45 % 25.52 %
Q3 2014 31.20 % 41.94 % 24.74 %
Q4 2014 32.46 % 43.45 % 26.05 %
Q1 2015 31.33 % 42.95 % 24.77 %
Q2 2015 29.81 % 42.15 % 22.59 %
Q3 2015 27.05 % 39.84 % 19.44 %
Q4 2015 25.43 % 38.49 % 17.54 %
Q1 2016 29.84 % 42.19 % 20.62 %
Q2 2016 36.29 % 47.23 % 27.89 %
Q3 2016 41.86 % 52.93 % 33.27 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2007 562.50 0.10 0.10 10.22
Q2 2007 562.50 0.30 0.30 10.20
Q3 2007 562.50 0.26 0.26 10.19
Q4 2007 562.50 (0.05) (0.05) 10.17
Q1 2008 562.50 (0.06) (0.06) 10.16
Q2 2008 562.50 (0.05) (0.05) 10.15
Q3 2008 562.50 (0.05) (0.05) 10.14
Q4 2008 562.50 (0.05) (0.05) 10.13
Q1 2009 562.50 (0.05) (0.05) 10.11
Q2 2009 562.50 (0.05) (0.05) 10.10
Q3 2009 562.50 (0.05) (0.05) 10.09
Q4 2009 562.50 (0.05) (0.05) 10.08
Q1 2010 562.50 0.42 0.42 10.54
Q2 2010 562.50 1.33 1.33 11.43
Q3 2010 562.50 1.97 1.97 12.06
Q4 2010 562.50 2.97 2.97 13.05
Q1 2011 562.50 3.79 3.79 14.33
Q2 2011 562.50 4.61 4.61 16.04
Q3 2011 562.50 5.45 5.45 17.51
Q4 2011 562.50 5.64 5.64 18.69
Q1 2012 562.50 5.65 5.65 19.97
Q2 2012 562.50 5.09 5.09 21.13
Q3 2012 562.50 4.39 4.39 21.90
Q4 2012 562.50 4.35 4.35 23.04
Q1 2013 562.50 4.25 4.25 24.23
Q2 2013 562.50 4.29 4.29 24.42
Q3 2013 562.50 5.05 5.05 25.96
Q4 2013 562.50 4.70 4.70 26.74
Q1 2014 562.50 4.50 4.50 25.73
Q2 2014 562.50 4.40 4.40 25.32
Q3 2014 562.50 4.09 4.09 26.55
Q4 2014 562.50 4.40 4.40 27.65
Q1 2015 562.50 3.92 3.92 26.65
Q2 2015 562.50 3.24 3.24 26.06
Q3 2015 562.50 2.55 2.55 26.59
Q4 2015 562.50 2.15 2.16 27.29
Q1 2016 562.50 2.39 2.40 27.00
Q2 2016 562.50 3.31 3.32 26.73
Q3 2016 562.50 3.79 3.79 27.81

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2007 More than 100 More than 100 2.74
Q2 2007 83.32 83.32 2.47
Q3 2007 More than 100 More than 100 3.31
Q4 2007 NEG NEG 5.19
Q1 2008 NEG NEG 5.54
Q2 2008 NEG NEG 5.59
Q3 2008 NEG NEG 3.34
Q4 2008 NEG NEG 1.46
Q1 2009 NEG NEG 1.89
Q2 2009 NEG NEG 2.64
Q3 2009 NEG NEG 3.27
Q4 2009 NEG NEG 3.31
Q1 2010 91.76 91.76 3.69
Q2 2010 28.67 28.67 3.33
Q3 2010 19.55 19.55 3.20
Q4 2010 16.01 16.01 3.65
Q1 2011 12.72 12.72 3.36
Q2 2011 10.26 10.26 2.95
Q3 2011 8.30 8.30 2.58
Q4 2011 7.80 7.80 2.35
Q1 2012 9.21 9.21 2.60
Q2 2012 8.65 8.65 2.08
Q3 2012 10.18 10.18 2.04
Q4 2012 10.88 10.88 2.05
Q1 2013 12.40 12.40 2.18
Q2 2013 12.93 12.93 2.27
Q3 2013 12.32 12.32 2.40
Q4 2013 15.69 15.69 2.76
Q1 2014 15.71 15.71 2.75
Q2 2014 16.11 16.11 2.80
Q3 2014 17.59 17.59 2.71
Q4 2014 10.82 10.82 1.72
Q1 2015 10.76 10.76 1.58
Q2 2015 16.75 16.75 2.08
Q3 2015 16.92 16.91 1.62
Q4 2015 15.10 15.04 1.19
Q1 2016 16.32 16.26 1.44
Q2 2016 12.65 12.61 1.57
Q3 2016 11.41 11.39 1.55

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2016 (e) Q3 2016 (a) Change‬
Average 638.79 568.28 (11.0 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2016 (e) Q3 2016 (a) Change
Sico 586.00 568.28 (3.0) %
Riyad Capital 600.00 568.28 (5.3) %
SNB Capital 614.00 568.28 (7.4) %
Value Capital 619.60 568.28 (8.3) %
Alistithmar Capital 637.80 568.28 (10.9) %
Al Rajhi Capital 649.00 568.28 (12.4) %
Albilad Capital 700.00 568.28 (18.8) %
AlJazira Capital 703.90 568.28 (19.3) %


Financial Ratios
Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 21,290.63
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 18,581.05
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 562.50
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 0.84
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 20.94
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) 44.98
P/E (TTM) 44.98
Price/book 1.81
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 3.3
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 3.9
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Share Price

Yanbu National Petrochemical Co.
37.85
(0.90) (2.32 %)

Yanbu National Petrochemical Co. (YANSAB)

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