SABB likely to post profit growth in Q1 2023

02/05/2023 Argaam Exclusive

In this report, Argaam highlights the expected financial results of Saudi British Bank (SABB) for Q1 2023, which will be announced in the next few days, as well as its key events, earnings, and performance indicators.

 

The bank reported growth in Q4 2022 net profit, backed by higher operating income and lower provisions.

Profitability (M Riyal)

Item Q4
2021
Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Profit before provisions and non recurring items 840.42 1066.01 1218.57 1433.45 1452.81
Quarter share before provisions and non-recurring items (Riyal/Share) 0.41 0.52 0.59 0.70 0.71
Provision for loans and investment (413.50) (59.78) (135.90) (37.51) (212.07)
Net Income 426.92 1,006.22 1,082.67 1,504.54 1,234.18
Extraordinary Items 0.00 0.00 0.00 108.60 (6.56)
Net Profit before Extraordinary Items 426.92 1,006.22 1,082.67 1,395.94 1,240.74
EPS Before Unusual Items (Riyal/Share) 0.21 0.49 0.53 0.73 0.60

Key events in Q1 2023

 

SABB board proposed a 7.4% cash dividend, or SAR 0.74 per share, for the second half of 2022.

(M Riyal)

Banking Sector Data

 

The banks operating in Saudi Arabia reported a 17% jump in aggregate net profit before Zakat and tax to nearly SAR 19.02 billion from January-March 2023, compared to SAR 16.26 billion a year earlier, recent data from the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) showed.

 

Aggregate assets grew by 11.2% year-on-year (YoY). Loans and deposits also increased by 10.3% and 10.8% YoY, respectively, in the same period. 

(Billion Riyal)

March - 2022 March - 2023 Change (%)
Total Assets 3,370.36 3,746.89 11.17 %
Total Deposits 2,166.62 2,400.77 10.81 %
Total Credit 2,134.10 2,354.61 10.33 %
Total Profit 16.256 19.018 16.99 %

Saudi Arabian Interbank Offered Rate (SAIBOR) rose to 5.69% at the end of Q1 2023, from 5.34% in Q4 2022 and 2.45% in Q1 2022.

Saibor

Balance Sheet

 

The bank's assets grew by 15.4% YoY in Q4 2022. Deposits and net loans rose 14.7% and 9.3% YoY, respectively, in the same period. 

(M Riyal)

Period Q4 - 2021 Q4 - 2022 Change
Total Assets 272,396.02 314,404.12 15.42%
Net Loans & Advances 167,556.48 183,132.25 9.30%
Customers' Deposits 186,760.61 214,278.85 14.73%
Demand Deposits 152,966.15 141,427.47 (7.54%)
Time Deposits 30,443.04 69,651.65 128.79%

Asset quality and solvency (M Riyal)

Period Q4 - 2021 Q4 - 2022 Change
Non-Performing Loans & Advances (NPLs) 8,686.26 8,736.40
NPLs/Total Loans & Advances 4.98 % 4.62 %
Provision for Credit Losses (PCL) (6,702.24) (6,010.48)
Provisions Coverage Ratio 77.16 % 68.80 %

Average Forecasts

 

SABB is forecast to post a profit leap of 50% YoY to SAR 1.51 billion in the first quarter of 2023, according to average estimates of four research houses.

Quarterly Actuals vs Estimates (M Riyal)

Average Estimate (M Riyal)

Analyst Million Riyals
JP Morgan 1,714.00
Osool and Bakheet Investment Co. 1,587.00
Arqaam Capital Limited Co. 1,586.00
Riyad Capital 1,534.00
EFG-Hermes KSA 1,491.00
Securities & Investment Company 1,485.00
U-Capital Co. 1,434.30
Average 1,547.33
Net Profit before Extraordinary Items (2022 - Q1) 1,006.22
Change % 53.78%

P/E (TTM)

Stock Performance

Item The Company TASI
YTD (4.35 %) 6.37 %
Change(12M) 2.26 % (18.83 %)
Previous Close 36.20 11,218.61
P/E adjusted (x) 13.56 21.55
EPS (TTM) before unusual items (SAR/Share) 2.35 -
36.30
0.05 0.14 %

Valuation Data (Latest Share Price)

P/E (TTM) 9.63
P/E Before Unusual Items (TTM) 9.63
P/BV 1.27
Dividend Yield 4.91 %
Market Cap. (M) 74,589.24
Return on Average Assets 2.16 %
Return on Average Equity 13.42 %
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