Advanced posts 57% profit rise to SAR 654 mln in 9M 2021

Advanced Petrochemical Co. reported an estimated net profit after Zakat and tax of SAR 654 million for the first nine months of 2021, a rise of 57% compared to a net profit of SAR 416 million a year earlier.

Financials (M)

Item	9m 2020	9m 2021	Change‬
Revenues	1,598.51	2,205.87	38.0 %
Gross Income	512.32	797.34	55.6 %
Operating Income	417.83	678.75	62.4 %
Net Income	415.78	653.73	57.2 %
Average Shares	260.00	260.00	-
EPS (Riyals)	1.60	2.51	57.2 %

Advanced attributed the profit growth to a 51% rise year-on-year (YoY) in polypropylene prices and an increase of SAR 26 million in the company’s profit share from SK Advanced.

The profit rise came despite a 14% YoY decrease in sales volumes, due to the 2021 periodic scheduled maintenance, an increase in propane and outsourced propylene prices by 70% and 37% YoY, respectively.

Moreover, general and administrative expenses rose 47% YoY.

Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The

Item	Q3 2020	Q3 2021	Change‬
Revenues	544.95	805.33	47.8 %
Gross Income	171.89	269.18	56.6 %
Operating Income	140.32	231.33	64.9 %
Net Income	156.50	217.76	39.1 %
Average Shares	260.00	260.00	-
EPS (Riyals)	0.60	0.84	39.1 %

Item	Q2 2021	Q3 2021	Change‬
Revenues	768.80	805.33	4.8 %
Gross Income	326.79	269.18	(17.6 %)
Operating Income	283.91	231.33	(18.5 %)
Net Income	264.62	217.76	(17.7 %)
Average Shares	260.00	260.00	-
EPS (Riyals)	1.02	0.84	(17.7 %)

In Q3 2021, Advanced net profit jumped 39.7% to SAR 218 million from SAR 156 million in the year-ago period, driven by a 47% rise YoY in polypropylene prices.

On a quarterly basis, net profit dropped 17.7% from SAR 265 million, hurt by an 8% decline in polypropylene prices.

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Share Price

Advanced Petrochemical Co. (ADVANCED)

	Current
Market Cap (M Riyal)	8,424.00
Enterprise Value (EV) (M)	16,465.15
Shares Outstanding ((M))	260.00
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM)	0.20
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal)	12.35
Par Value ( Riyal)	10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12)	More than 100
P/E (TTM)	More than 100
Price/book	2.62
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM)	0.4
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM)	1.6

Period	Revenues	Change	Gross Income	Change	Operating Income	Change
Q1 2012	586.24	(12.2 %)	69.36	(52.2 %)	60.63	(55.4 %)
Q2 2012	456.91	(38.5 %)	67.84	(60.1 %)	58.09	(63.8 %)
Q3 2012	649.29	(9.5 %)	114.76	(23.8 %)	105.51	(25.3 %)
Q4 2012	780.00	17.5 %	134.53	22.4 %	122.17	27.1 %
2012	2,472.44	(11.4 %)	386.50	(32.9 %)	346.40	(35.1 %)
Q1 2013	641.52	9.4 %	132.77	91.4 %	121.75	100.8 %
Q2 2013	685.67	50.1 %	150.60	122.0 %	140.13	141.2 %
Q3 2013	694.25	6.9 %	154.12	34.3 %	143.53	36.0 %
Q4 2013	764.17	(2.0 %)	173.96	29.3 %	160.10	31.0 %
2013	2,785.60	12.7 %	611.45	58.2 %	565.51	63.3 %
Q1 2014	669.17	4.3 %	150.42	13.3 %	138.60	13.8 %
Q2 2014	807.63	17.8 %	192.85	28.0 %	183.19	30.7 %
Q3 2014	819.76	18.1 %	205.69	33.5 %	196.90	37.2 %
Q4 2014	739.82	(3.2 %)	231.78	33.2 %	216.42	35.2 %
2014	3,036.38	9.0 %	780.73	27.7 %	735.11	30.0 %
Q1 2015	467.94	(30.1 %)	111.12	(26.1 %)	100.34	(27.6 %)
Q2 2015	735.37	(8.9 %)	264.00	36.9 %	253.53	38.4 %
Q3 2015	631.98	(22.9 %)	248.32	20.7 %	240.55	22.2 %
Q4 2015	541.73	(26.8 %)	160.72	(30.7 %)	148.10	(31.6 %)
2015	2,377.03	(21.7 %)	784.15	0.4 %	742.52	1.0 %
Q1 2016	488.07	4.3 %	178.90	61.0 %	147.77	47.3 %
Q2 2016	546.41	(25.7 %)	224.96	(14.8 %)	195.04	(23.1 %)
Q3 2016	528.53	(16.4 %)	225.65	(9.1 %)	196.67	(18.2 %)
Q4 2016	576.37	6.4 %	228.95	42.5 %	188.65	27.4 %
2016	2,139.37	(10.0 %)	858.46	9.5 %	728.12	(1.9 %)
Q1 2017	526.24	7.8 %	143.25	(19.9 %)	117.00	(20.8 %)
Q2 2017	604.41	10.6 %	220.13	(2.1 %)	192.07	(1.5 %)
Q3 2017	616.41	16.6 %	221.95	(1.6 %)	195.36	(0.7 %)
Q4 2017	637.48	10.6 %	152.79	(33.3 %)	115.24	(38.9 %)
2017	2,384.54	11.5 %	738.12	(14.0 %)	619.66	(14.9 %)
Q1 2018	503.82	(4.3 %)	119.14	(16.8 %)	94.71	(19.1 %)
Q2 2018	749.67	24.0 %	277.14	25.9 %	246.61	28.4 %
Q3 2018	744.94	20.9 %	218.08	(1.7 %)	190.55	(2.5 %)
Q4 2018	749.79	17.6 %	213.22	39.5 %	168.51	46.2 %
2018	2,748.21	15.3 %	827.58	12.1 %	700.38	13.0 %
Q1 2019	647.97	28.6 %	193.91	62.8 %	151.74	60.2 %
Q2 2019	680.96	(9.2 %)	246.37	(11.1 %)	207.33	(15.9 %)
Q3 2019	647.18	(13.1 %)	245.26	12.5 %	201.94	6.0 %
Q4 2019	618.40	(17.5 %)	213.67	0.2 %	171.22	1.6 %
2019	2,594.51	(5.6 %)	899.20	8.7 %	732.22	4.5 %
Q1 2020	534.52	(17.5 %)	154.37	(20.4 %)	125.20	(17.5 %)
Q2 2020	519.04	(23.8 %)	186.06	(24.5 %)	152.30	(26.5 %)
Q3 2020	544.95	(15.8 %)	171.89	(29.9 %)	140.32	(30.5 %)
Q4 2020	632.85	2.3 %	216.90	1.5 %	174.63	2.0 %
2020	2,231.35	(14.0 %)	729.22	(18.9 %)	592.45	(19.1 %)
Q1 2021	631.74	18.2 %	201.36	30.4 %	163.51	30.6 %
Q2 2021	768.80	48.1 %	326.79	75.6 %	283.91	86.4 %
Q3 2021	805.33	47.8 %	269.18	56.6 %	231.33	64.9 %

Period	Revenues	Change	Gross Income	Change	Operating Income	Change
2011	2,790.92	37.4 %	575.74	45.6 %	533.73	49.0 %
2012	2,472.44	(11.4 %)	386.50	(32.9 %)	346.40	(35.1 %)
2013	2,785.60	12.7 %	611.45	58.2 %	565.51	63.3 %
2014	3,036.38	9.0 %	780.73	27.7 %	735.11	30.0 %
2015	2,377.03	(21.7 %)	784.15	0.4 %	742.52	1.0 %
2016	2,139.37	(10.0 %)	858.46	9.5 %	728.12	(1.9 %)
2017	2,384.54	11.5 %	738.12	(14.0 %)	619.66	(14.9 %)
2018	2,748.21	15.3 %	827.58	12.1 %	700.38	13.0 %
2019	2,594.51	(5.6 %)	899.20	8.7 %	732.22	4.5 %
2020	2,231.35	(14.0 %)	729.22	(18.9 %)	592.45	(19.1 %)

Profit Performance (Million)

Period	Net Income	Change	EPS(Riyal)	Extraordinary Income/Expense	Net Profit Before Unusual Items	EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2012	57.09	(56.5 %)	0.22	-	57.09	0.22
Q2 2012	53.88	(65.4 %)	0.21	-	53.88	0.21
Q3 2012	100.26	(26.0 %)	0.39	-	100.26	0.39
Q4 2012	117.01	29.2 %	0.45	-	117.01	0.45
2012	328.24	(36.0 %)	1.26	-	328.24	1.26
Q1 2013	117.94	106.6 %	0.45	-	117.94	0.45
Q2 2013	136.67	153.7 %	0.53	-	136.67	0.53
Q3 2013	140.96	40.6 %	0.54	-	140.96	0.54
Q4 2013	161.29	37.9 %	0.62	-	161.29	0.62
2013	556.86	69.7 %	2.14	-	556.86	2.14
Q1 2014	137.45	16.5 %	0.53	1.20	136.26	0.52
Q2 2014	184.63	35.1 %	0.71	4.45	180.19	0.69
Q3 2014	228.74	62.3 %	0.88	34.57	194.17	0.75
Q4 2014	200.13	24.1 %	0.77	(13.13)	213.26	0.82
2014	750.95	34.9 %	2.89	27.09	723.86	2.78
Q1 2015	89.63	(34.8 %)	0.34	-	89.63	0.34
Q2 2015	243.15	31.7 %	0.94	-	243.15	0.94
Q3 2015	234.18	2.4 %	0.90	-	234.18	0.90
Q4 2015	146.08	(27.0 %)	0.56	-	146.08	0.56
2015	713.03	(5.1 %)	2.74	-	713.03	2.74
Q1 2016	142.86	59.4 %	0.55	(3.42)	146.28	0.56
Q2 2016	192.11	(21.0 %)	0.74	(6.76)	198.87	0.76
Q3 2016	189.10	(19.2 %)	0.73	(14.00)	203.11	0.78
Q4 2016	207.81	42.3 %	0.80	6.98	200.83	0.77
2016	731.88	2.6 %	2.81	(17.20)	749.08	2.88
Q1 2017	124.37	(12.9 %)	0.48	-	124.37	0.48
Q2 2017	194.51	1.2 %	0.75	-	194.51	0.75
Q3 2017	208.41	10.2 %	0.80	-	208.41	0.80
Q4 2017	103.83	(50.0 %)	0.40	-	103.83	0.40
2017	631.12	(13.8 %)	2.43	-	631.12	2.43
Q1 2018	97.55	(21.6 %)	0.38	-	97.55	0.38
Q2 2018	253.34	30.2 %	0.97	-	253.34	0.97
Q3 2018	202.20	(3.0 %)	0.78	-	202.20	0.78
Q4 2018	163.87	57.8 %	0.63	-	163.87	0.63
2018	716.96	13.6 %	2.76	-	716.96	2.76
Q1 2019	161.88	65.9 %	0.62	-	161.88	0.62
Q2 2019	192.31	(24.1 %)	0.74	-	192.31	0.74
Q3 2019	213.12	5.4 %	0.82	-	213.12	0.82
Q4 2019	192.01	17.2 %	0.74	-	192.01	0.74
2019	759.31	5.9 %	2.92	-	759.31	2.92
Q1 2020	104.33	(35.5 %)	0.40	-	104.33	0.40
Q2 2020	154.96	(19.4 %)	0.60	-	154.96	0.60
Q3 2020	156.50	(26.6 %)	0.60	-	156.50	0.60
Q4 2020	179.81	(6.4 %)	0.69	-	179.81	0.69
2020	595.59	(21.6 %)	2.29	-	595.59	2.29
Q1 2021	171.36	64.2 %	0.66	-	171.36	0.66
Q2 2021	264.62	70.8 %	1.02	-	264.62	1.02
Q3 2021	217.76	39.1 %	0.84	-	217.76	0.84

Period	Net Income	Change	EPS(Riyal)	Extraordinary Income/Expense	Net Profit Before Unusual Items	EPS Before XO Items
2011	512.80	56.2 %	1.97	-	512.80	1.97
2012	328.24	(36.0 %)	1.26	-	328.24	1.26
2013	556.86	69.7 %	2.14	-	556.86	2.14
2014	750.95	34.9 %	2.89	27.09	723.86	2.78
2015	713.03	(5.1 %)	2.74	-	713.03	2.74
2016	731.88	2.6 %	2.81	(17.20)	749.08	2.88
2017	631.12	(13.8 %)	2.43	-	631.12	2.43
2018	716.96	13.6 %	2.76	-	716.96	2.76
2019	759.31	5.9 %	2.92	-	759.31	2.92
2020	595.59	(21.6 %)	2.29	-	595.59	2.29

Profitability

Period	Gross Margin	OIBDA Margin	Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2012	18.45 %	24.84 %	16.19 %
Q2 2012	16.41 %	22.93 %	13.90 %
Q3 2012	15.36 %	22.01 %	12.81 %
Q4 2012	15.63 %	21.99 %	13.28 %
2012	15.63 %	21.99 %	13.28 %
Q1 2013	17.80 %	24.04 %	15.39 %
Q2 2013	19.32 %	25.56 %	17.12 %
Q3 2013	20.42 %	26.53 %	18.30 %
Q4 2013	21.95 %	27.75 %	19.99 %
2013	21.95 %	27.75 %	19.99 %
Q1 2014	22.36 %	28.05 %	20.45 %
Q2 2014	22.87 %	28.30 %	21.08 %
Q3 2014	23.62 %	28.85 %	21.95 %
Q4 2014	25.71 %	31.08 %	23.84 %
2014	25.71 %	31.08 %	23.84 %
Q1 2015	26.15 %	31.74 %	23.89 %
Q2 2015	29.41 %	35.36 %	26.79 %
Q3 2015	33.21 %	39.71 %	30.30 %
Q4 2015	32.99 %	40.09 %	30.00 %
2015	32.99 %	40.09 %	30.00 %
Q1 2016	35.54 %	41.88 %	32.11 %
Q2 2016	36.81 %	42.47 %	32.85 %
Q3 2016	37.55 %	41.89 %	32.99 %
Q4 2016	40.13 %	42.70 %	35.01 %
2016	40.13 %	42.70 %	35.01 %
Q1 2017	37.79 %	40.45 %	33.39 %
Q2 2017	36.59 %	39.17 %	32.33 %
Q3 2017	35.05 %	37.93 %	31.34 %
Q4 2017	30.95 %	34.04 %	26.47 %
2017	30.95 %	34.04 %	26.47 %
Q1 2018	30.23 %	33.46 %	25.58 %
Q2 2018	30.75 %	33.85 %	26.45 %
Q3 2018	29.10 %	32.22 %	24.92 %
Q4 2018	30.11 %	33.04 %	26.09 %
2018	30.11 %	33.04 %	26.09 %
Q1 2019	31.20 %	33.53 %	27.01 %
Q2 2019	30.87 %	33.03 %	25.51 %
Q3 2019	32.97 %	34.78 %	26.82 %
Q4 2019	34.66 %	36.52 %	29.27 %
2019	34.66 %	36.52 %	29.27 %
Q1 2020	34.65 %	37.15 %	28.28 %
Q2 2020	34.47 %	37.40 %	28.65 %
Q3 2020	32.75 %	36.19 %	27.42 %
Q4 2020	32.68 %	36.27 %	26.69 %
2020	32.68 %	36.27 %	26.69 %
Q1 2021	33.33 %	36.24 %	28.46 %
Q2 2021	35.56 %	37.96 %	29.95 %
Q3 2021	35.73 %	37.82 %	29.36 %

Period	Gross Margin	OIBDA Margin	Net Margin Before Unusual Items
2011	20.63 %	26.92 %	18.37 %
2012	15.63 %	21.99 %	13.28 %
2013	21.95 %	27.75 %	19.99 %
2014	25.71 %	31.08 %	23.84 %
2015	32.99 %	40.09 %	30.00 %
2016	40.13 %	42.70 %	35.01 %
2017	30.95 %	34.04 %	26.47 %
2018	30.11 %	33.04 %	26.09 %
2019	34.66 %	36.52 %	29.27 %
2020	32.68 %	36.27 %	26.69 %

Period	Gross Margin	OIBDA Margin	Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2012	11.83 %	18.76 %	9.74 %
Q2 2012	14.85 %	21.02 %	11.79 %
Q3 2012	17.68 %	24.20 %	15.44 %
Q4 2012	17.25 %	23.15 %	15.00 %
Q1 2013	20.70 %	27.11 %	18.38 %
Q2 2013	21.96 %	28.16 %	19.93 %
Q3 2013	22.20 %	28.20 %	20.30 %
Q4 2013	22.76 %	27.53 %	21.11 %
Q1 2014	22.48 %	28.40 %	20.36 %
Q2 2014	23.88 %	29.02 %	22.31 %
Q3 2014	25.09 %	30.27 %	23.69 %
Q4 2014	31.33 %	36.65 %	28.83 %
Q1 2015	23.75 %	31.28 %	19.15 %
Q2 2015	35.90 %	42.32 %	33.06 %
Q3 2015	39.29 %	46.49 %	37.05 %
Q4 2015	29.67 %	37.19 %	26.96 %
Q1 2016	36.66 %	40.48 %	29.97 %
Q2 2016	41.17 %	44.83 %	36.40 %
Q3 2016	42.69 %	44.98 %	38.43 %
Q4 2016	39.72 %	40.47 %	34.84 %
Q1 2017	27.22 %	31.30 %	23.63 %
Q2 2017	36.42 %	39.68 %	32.18 %
Q3 2017	36.01 %	39.49 %	33.81 %
Q4 2017	23.97 %	25.67 %	16.29 %
Q1 2018	23.65 %	28.47 %	19.36 %
Q2 2018	36.97 %	39.77 %	33.79 %
Q3 2018	29.28 %	32.77 %	27.14 %
Q4 2018	28.44 %	29.67 %	21.86 %
Q1 2019	29.93 %	31.67 %	24.98 %
Q2 2019	36.18 %	38.30 %	28.24 %
Q3 2019	37.90 %	40.11 %	32.93 %
Q4 2019	34.55 %	35.89 %	31.05 %
Q1 2020	28.88 %	33.56 %	19.52 %
Q2 2020	35.85 %	39.77 %	29.85 %
Q3 2020	31.54 %	35.67 %	28.72 %
Q4 2020	34.27 %	36.21 %	28.41 %
Q1 2021	31.87 %	33.86 %	27.13 %
Q2 2021	42.51 %	44.41 %	34.42 %
Q3 2021	33.43 %	35.90 %	27.04 %

Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The

Period	Shares Outstanding (M)	EPS (Riyal)	Adjusted EPS (Riyal)	Book Value (BV)
Q1 2012	260.00	1.69	1.69	7.47
Q2 2012	260.00	1.30	1.30	7.04
Q3 2012	260.00	1.16	1.16	7.42
Q4 2012	260.00	1.26	1.26	7.86
Q1 2013	260.00	1.50	1.50	7.67
Q2 2013	260.00	1.81	1.81	7.55
Q3 2013	260.00	1.97	1.97	8.08
Q4 2013	260.00	2.14	2.14	8.67
Q1 2014	260.00	2.22	2.21	8.42
Q2 2014	260.00	2.40	2.38	8.31
Q3 2014	260.00	2.74	2.58	8.51
Q4 2014	260.00	2.89	2.78	9.14
Q1 2015	260.00	2.70	2.60	8.58
Q2 2015	260.00	2.93	2.85	9.04
Q3 2015	260.00	2.95	3.00	9.31
Q4 2015	260.00	2.74	2.74	9.65
Q1 2016	260.00	2.95	2.96	9.15
Q2 2016	260.00	2.75	2.79	9.93
Q3 2016	260.00	2.58	2.67	10.55
Q4 2016	260.00	2.81	2.88	11.68
Q1 2017	260.00	2.74	2.80	11.22
Q2 2017	260.00	2.75	2.78	10.86
Q3 2017	260.00	2.83	2.80	11.89
Q4 2017	260.00	2.43	2.43	11.97
Q1 2018	260.00	2.32	2.32	11.84
Q2 2018	260.00	2.55	2.55	12.53
Q3 2018	260.00	2.53	2.53	12.43
Q4 2018	260.00	2.76	2.76	12.40
Q1 2019	260.00	3.00	3.00	12.38
Q2 2019	260.00	2.77	2.77	12.42
Q3 2019	260.00	2.81	2.81	12.57
Q4 2019	260.00	2.92	2.92	12.89
Q1 2020	260.00	2.70	2.70	11.37
Q2 2020	260.00	2.56	2.56	11.67
Q3 2020	260.00	2.34	2.34	12.23
Q4 2020	260.00	2.29	2.29	13.15
Q1 2021	260.00	2.55	2.55	12.86
Q2 2021	260.00	2.97	2.97	13.98
Q3 2021	260.00	3.21	3.21	15.35

Period	Shares Outstanding (M)	EPS (Riyal)	Adjusted EPS (Riyal)	Book Value (BV)
2011	260.00	1.97	1.97	7.80
2012	260.00	1.26	1.26	7.86
2013	260.00	2.14	2.14	8.67
2014	260.00	2.89	2.78	9.14
2015	260.00	2.74	2.74	9.65
2016	260.00	2.81	2.88	11.68
2017	260.00	2.43	2.43	11.97
2018	260.00	2.76	2.76	12.40
2019	260.00	2.92	2.92	12.89
2020	260.00	2.29	2.29	13.15

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The

Period	P/E	Adjusted P/E	Price/book
Q1 2012	11.70	11.70	2.64
Q2 2012	12.21	12.21	2.25
Q3 2012	14.13	14.13	2.21
Q4 2012	13.09	13.09	2.10
Q1 2013	12.31	12.31	2.40
Q2 2013	11.05	11.05	2.66
Q3 2013	10.69	10.69	2.61
Q4 2013	12.02	12.02	2.97
Q1 2014	12.12	12.15	3.19
Q2 2014	11.62	11.73	3.36
Q3 2014	13.77	14.59	4.43
Q4 2014	8.78	9.11	2.77
Q1 2015	9.69	10.06	3.05
Q2 2015	12.08	12.43	3.91
Q3 2015	9.76	9.59	3.09
Q4 2015	8.68	8.68	2.47
Q1 2016	8.79	8.75	2.83
Q2 2016	10.89	10.73	3.02
Q3 2016	11.08	10.70	2.71
Q4 2016	12.36	12.08	2.98
Q1 2017	12.73	12.49	3.11
Q2 2017	12.69	12.57	3.22
Q3 2017	12.31	12.43	2.93
Q4 2017	14.32	14.32	2.90
Q1 2018	16.28	16.28	3.20
Q2 2018	16.27	16.27	3.31
Q3 2018	16.45	16.45	3.34
Q4 2018	13.87	13.87	3.08
Q1 2019	14.01	14.01	3.40
Q2 2019	16.48	16.48	3.68
Q3 2019	14.37	14.37	3.22
Q4 2019	14.09	14.09	3.19
Q1 2020	13.74	13.74	3.26
Q2 2020	17.34	17.34	3.80
Q3 2020	21.06	21.06	4.03
Q4 2020	24.37	24.37	4.24
Q1 2021	23.86	23.86	4.73
Q2 2021	20.28	20.28	4.31
Q3 2021	19.49	19.49	4.07

Period	P/E	Adjusted P/E	Price/book
2011	7.89	7.89	1.99
2012	13.09	13.09	2.10
2013	12.02	12.02	2.97
2014	8.78	9.11	2.77
2015	8.68	8.68	2.47
2016	12.36	12.08	2.98
2017	14.32	14.32	2.90
2018	13.87	13.87	3.08
2019	14.09	14.09	3.19
2020	24.37	24.37	4.24

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item	Q3 2021 (e)	Q3 2021 (a)	Change‬
Average	214.28	217.76	1.62 %

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item	Q3 2021 (e)	Q3 2021 (a)	Change
Riyad Capital	213.00	217.76	2.2 %
OSOOL AND BAKHEET	235.00	217.76	(7.3) %
Al Rajhi Capital	200.00	217.76	8.9 %
Arqaam Capital	196.00	217.76	11.1 %
AlJazira Capital	248.70	217.76	(12.4) %
SNB Capital	193.00	217.76	12.8 %

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Advanced posts 57% profit rise to SAR 654 mln in 9M 2021

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Advanced Petrochemical Co. (ADVANCED)

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