Financial Results : Savola sees modest profit slip to SAR 665.1M in 9M 2024; Q3 at SAR 181M

Savola sees modest profit slip to SAR 665.1M in 9M 2024; Q3 at SAR 181M

27/10/2024 Argaam Exclusive

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Savola Group reported a net profit of SAR 665.1 million for the first nine months of 2024, a marginal pullback from SAR 672.1 million in the year-earlier period.



Financials (M)

Item 9m 2023 9m 2024 Change‬
Revenues 20,258.68 19,217.67 (5.1 %)
Gross Income 4,059.48 4,030.02 (0.7 %)
Operating Income 1,115.05 1,032.07 (7.4 %)
Net Income 672.13 665.12 (1.0 %)
Average Shares 911.17 1,133.98 24.5 %
EPS (Riyals) 0.74 0.59 (20.5 %)

The annual profit drop was attributed to lower revenues from the food processing segment due to the decline in crude edible oil prices and sales, paired with the foreign exchange (FX) negatives in some international markets.

 

This is besides the investment divestment of Savola Morocco SA, alongside the temporary suspension of operations in Sudan due to the escalating conflict in the country.

 

In the food processing segment, net earnings contracted by SAR 87 million, hurt by recognizing SAR 109 million in FX losses given the weaker Egyptian pound. As for the food services segment, it swung to net losses of SAR 56.6 million in 9M 2024, versus profitmaking in the year-ago period.

 

Savola also logged a non-recurring loss of SAR 29 million on the acquisition of an emerging asset (the Munchbox brand). Further, operating expenses (opex) and net financing costs (FCs) increased year-on-year (YoY) in the first nine months of 2024.

 

This came although Savola witnessed improved performance in its retail segment, which turned from a net loss of SAR 22 million in 9M 2023 to a net profit of SAR 96.5 million in 9M 2024, thanks to its Customer Experience Revival (CXR) Program.

 

Additionally, it recorded non-recurring revenues of SAR 19.4 million due to customs duty refunds in the first nine months of 2024, besides posting an increased share of profits from associate companies. Zakat and income tax expenses also decreased YoY during the same period.



Current Quarter Comparison (M)

Compared With The
Item Q3 2023 Q3 2024 Change‬
Revenues 6,350.90 6,060.82 (4.6 %)
Gross Income 1,310.49 1,196.50 (8.7 %)
Operating Income 341.14 201.68 (40.9 %)
Net Income 147.36 181.02 22.8 %
Average Shares 911.17 1,133.98 24.5 %
EPS (Riyals) 0.16 0.16 (1.3 %)

In Q3 2024, Savola’s bottom-line came in at SAR 181 million, up 22.8% from SAR 147.36 million in the prior-year period.

 

On a quarterly basis, net earnings climbed by 33.7% from SAR 135. 59 million in Q2 2024.

 

Shareholders’ equity (after minority interest) grew to SAR 14.72 billion by the end of Sept. 30, 2024, compared to SAR 8.30 billion in the year before.



Financial results (Million)

Period Revenues Change Gross Income Change Operating Income Change
Q1 2015 6,223.71 (0.3 %) 1,159.16 6.1 % 227.93 (23.3 %)
Q2 2015 7,036.49 (4.1 %) 1,353.24 8.1 % 326.05 (19.0 %)
Q3 2015 5,603.56 (8.9 %) 1,238.87 7.7 % 245.60 (32.3 %)
Q4 2015 6,261.83 (8.7 %) 1,274.13 (6.9 %) 189.68 (54.3 %)
Q1 2016 6,421.75 3.2 % 1,273.15 9.8 % 242.12 6.2 %
Q2 2016 7,140.78 1.5 % 1,332.79 (1.5 %) 217.40 (33.3 %)
Q3 2016 6,154.31 9.8 % 1,182.55 (4.5 %) 113.77 (53.7 %)
Q4 2016 6,613.95 5.6 % 864.48 (32.2 %) (228.79) (220.6 %)
Q1 2017 5,786.91 (9.9 %) 1,040.13 (18.3 %) 18.06 (92.5 %)
Q2 2017 6,653.26 (6.8 %) 1,140.04 (14.5 %) 74.96 (65.5 %)
Q3 2017 5,595.78 (9.1 %) 1,053.79 (10.9 %) 25.93 (77.2 %)
Q4 2017 5,794.53 (12.4 %) 1,160.16 34.2 % 154.73 167.6 %
Q1 2018 5,107.98 (11.7 %) 908.50 (12.7 %) (54.78) (403.3 %)
Q2 2018 6,147.58 (7.6 %) 1,066.86 (6.4 %) 0.33 (99.6 %)
Q3 2018 5,212.03 (6.9 %) 932.00 (11.6 %) (36.92) (242.4 %)
Q4 2018 5,346.97 (7.7 %) 990.60 (14.6 %) (6.51) (104.2 %)
Q1 2019 5,387.89 5.5 % 1,065.47 17.3 % 91.74 267.5 %
Q2 2019 5,812.70 (5.4 %) 1,163.16 9.0 % 154.71 46925.2 %
Q3 2019 5,148.13 (1.2 %) 1,084.18 16.3 % 211.60 673.2 %
Q4 2019 5,231.73 (2.2 %) 1,191.50 20.3 % 211.54 3351.0 %
Q1 2020 5,922.88 9.9 % 1,223.00 14.8 % 273.38 198.0 %
Q2 2020 6,007.08 3.3 % 1,278.68 9.9 % 363.61 135.0 %
Q3 2020 4,587.28 (10.9 %) 1,064.43 (1.8 %) 214.56 1.4 %
Q4 2020 5,184.71 (0.9 %) 1,074.27 (9.8 %) 105.12 (50.3 %)
Q1 2021 5,953.57 0.5 % 1,211.63 (0.9 %) 244.24 (10.7 %)
Q2 2021 5,900.96 (1.8 %) 1,117.62 (12.6 %) 242.53 (33.3 %)
Q3 2021 6,048.46 31.9 % 1,023.66 (3.8 %) 152.76 (28.8 %)
Q4 2021 6,755.27 30.3 % 1,127.80 5.0 % 241.57 129.8 %
Q1 2022 7,489.35 25.8 % 1,285.41 6.1 % 324.26 32.8 %
Q2 2022 6,888.31 16.7 % 1,247.66 11.6 % 298.85 23.2 %
Q3 2022 7,072.41 16.9 % 1,148.92 12.2 % 242.92 59.0 %
Q4 2022 6,604.64 (2.2 %) 1,192.09 5.7 % 76.11 (68.5 %)
Q1 2023 7,814.49 4.3 % 1,502.03 16.9 % 513.81 58.5 %
Q2 2023 6,093.29 (11.5 %) 1,246.96 (0.1 %) 260.09 (13.0 %)
Q3 2023 6,350.90 (10.2 %) 1,310.49 14.1 % 341.14 40.4 %
Q4 2023 6,559.64 (0.7 %) 1,383.86 16.1 % 385.66 406.7 %
Q1 2024 7,781.87 (0.4 %) 1,618.73 7.8 % 610.55 18.8 %
Q2 2024 5,374.97 (11.8 %) 1,214.78 (2.6 %) 219.83 (15.5 %)
Q3 2024 6,060.82 (4.6 %) 1,196.50 (8.7 %) 201.68 (40.9 %)


Profit Performance (Million)

Period Net Income Change EPS(Riyal) Extraordinary Income/Expense Net Profit Before Unusual Items EPS Before XO Items
Q1 2015 470.51 11.2 % 0.52 227.39 243.12 0.27
Q2 2015 434.37 (15.4 %) 0.48 (0.67) 435.03 0.48
Q3 2015 371.56 (47.0 %) 0.41 5.72 365.84 0.40
Q4 2015 515.32 18.6 % 0.57 199.19 316.13 0.35
Q1 2016 119.38 (74.6 %) 0.13 (107.31) 226.69 0.25
Q2 2016 253.52 (41.6 %) 0.28 (42.26) 295.78 0.32
Q3 2016 179.51 (51.7 %) 0.20 (3.13) 182.64 0.20
Q4 2016 (915.70) (277.7 %) (1.00) (597.46) (318.23) (0.35)
Q1 2017 4.78 (96.0 %) 0.01 15.61 (10.83) (0.01)
Q2 2017 229.31 (9.5 %) 0.25 68.14 161.17 0.18
Q3 2017 829.04 361.8 % 0.91 693.94 135.10 0.15
Q4 2017 (37.51) 95.9 % (0.04) (222.02) 184.51 0.20
Q1 2018 (84.32) (1864.7 %) (0.09) 3.27 (87.58) (0.10)
Q2 2018 140.65 (38.7 %) 0.15 - 140.65 0.15
Q3 2018 (50.73) (106.1 %) (0.06) - (50.73) (0.06)
Q4 2018 (525.99) (1,302.2 %) (0.58) (300.29) (225.70) (0.25)
Q1 2019 6.33 107.5 % 0.01 42.71 (36.38) (0.04)
Q2 2019 110.23 (21.6 %) 0.12 7.56 102.67 0.11
Q3 2019 221.76 537.2 % 0.24 21.17 200.59 0.22
Q4 2019 137.31 126.1 % 0.15 66.84 70.48 0.08
Q1 2020 172.76 2629.1 % 0.19 - 172.76 0.19
Q2 2020 409.58 271.6 % 0.45 - 409.58 0.45
Q3 2020 283.74 28.0 % 0.31 21.00 262.74 0.29
Q4 2020 44.73 (67.4 %) 0.05 - 44.73 0.05
Q1 2021 153.83 (11.0 %) 0.17 - 153.83 0.17
Q2 2021 200.02 (51.2 %) 0.22 - 200.02 0.22
Q3 2021 122.40 (56.9 %) 0.13 - 122.40 0.13
Q4 2021 (254.36) (668.7 %) (0.28) (421.87) 167.50 0.18
Q1 2022 270.89 76.1 % 0.30 - 270.89 0.30
Q2 2022 213.75 6.9 % 0.23 - 213.75 0.23
Q3 2022 163.64 33.7 % 0.18 - 163.64 0.18
Q4 2022 94.47 137.1 % 0.10 107.03 (12.56) (0.01)
Q1 2023 392.75 45.0 % 0.43 41.78 350.97 0.39
Q2 2023 132.03 (38.2 %) 0.14 - 132.03 0.14
Q3 2023 147.36 (9.9 %) 0.16 - 147.36 0.16
Q4 2023 227.05 140.3 % 0.25 112.13 114.92 0.13
Q1 2024 348.71 (11.2 %) 0.38 - 348.71 0.38
Q2 2024 135.39 2.5 % 0.15 - 135.39 0.15
Q3 2024 181.02 22.8 % 0.16 - 181.02 0.16

Profitability

Period Gross Margin OIBDA Margin Net Margin Before Unusual Items
Q1 2015 18.55 % 7.64 % 6.42 %
Q2 2015 19.15 % 7.48 % 6.33 %
Q3 2015 19.90 % 7.24 % 5.96 %
Q4 2015 20.00 % 6.42 % 5.41 %
Q1 2016 20.29 % 6.53 % 5.31 %
Q2 2016 20.13 % 6.32 % 4.74 %
Q3 2016 19.49 % 5.49 % 3.93 %
Q4 2016 17.67 % 4.04 % 1.47 %
Q1 2017 17.20 % 3.34 % 0.58 %
Q2 2017 16.77 % 2.54 % 0.06 %
Q3 2017 16.63 % 2.63 % (0.13 %)
Q4 2017 18.44 % 4.53 % 1.97 %
Q1 2018 18.41 % 4.31 % 1.70 %
Q2 2018 18.50 % 4.33 % 1.65 %
Q3 2018 18.27 % 3.89 % 0.84 %
Q4 2018 17.87 % 3.05 % (1.02 %)
Q1 2019 18.35 % 4.18 % (0.78 %)
Q2 2019 19.08 % 5.40 % (0.97 %)
Q3 2019 19.84 % 7.10 % 0.19 %
Q4 2019 20.87 % 11.45 % 1.56 %
Q1 2020 21.08 % 11.92 % 2.47 %
Q2 2020 21.41 % 12.70 % 3.83 %
Q3 2020 21.88 % 12.99 % 4.21 %
Q4 2020 21.38 % 9.58 % 4.10 %
Q1 2021 21.30 % 9.36 % 4.01 %
Q2 2021 20.66 % 8.73 % 3.06 %
Q3 2021 19.18 % 7.81 % 2.26 %
Q4 2021 18.17 % 7.90 % 2.61 %
Q1 2022 17.39 % 7.67 % 2.90 %
Q2 2022 17.23 % 7.57 % 2.85 %
Q3 2022 17.05 % 7.64 % 2.89 %
Q4 2022 17.37 % 7.15 % 2.27 %
Q1 2023 17.94 % 7.79 % 2.52 %
Q2 2023 18.45 % 7.92 % 2.30 %
Q3 2023 19.55 % 8.57 % 2.30 %
Q4 2023 20.30 % 9.78 % 2.78 %
Q1 2024 20.76 % 10.20 % 2.77 %
Q2 2024 21.21 % 10.42 % 2.86 %
Q3 2024 21.00 % 9.96 % 3.03 %


Per Share Data (Riyal)

Compared With The
Period Shares Outstanding (M) EPS (Riyal) Adjusted EPS (Riyal) Book Value (BV)
Q1 2015 911.17 2.33 1.87 11.09
Q2 2015 911.17 2.24 1.82 11.50
Q3 2015 911.17 1.88 1.68 11.28
Q4 2015 911.17 1.97 1.49 11.58
Q1 2016 911.17 1.58 1.47 10.80
Q2 2016 911.17 1.38 1.32 10.88
Q3 2016 911.17 1.17 1.12 10.84
Q4 2016 911.17 (0.40) 0.42 9.02
Q1 2017 911.17 (0.52) 0.16 9.02
Q2 2017 911.17 (0.55) 0.02 9.24
Q3 2017 911.17 0.16 (0.04) 10.09
Q4 2017 911.17 1.13 0.52 9.69
Q1 2018 911.17 1.03 0.43 9.43
Q2 2018 911.17 0.93 0.41 9.02
Q3 2018 911.17 (0.04) 0.21 8.38
Q4 2018 911.17 (0.57) (0.25) 7.82
Q1 2019 911.17 (0.47) (0.19) 7.84
Q2 2019 911.17 (0.51) (0.23) 7.94
Q3 2019 911.17 (0.21) 0.05 8.18
Q4 2019 911.17 0.52 0.37 8.33
Q1 2020 911.17 0.70 0.60 8.35
Q2 2020 911.17 1.03 0.94 8.48
Q3 2020 911.17 1.10 1.00 8.96
Q4 2020 911.17 1.00 0.98 9.03
Q1 2021 911.17 0.98 0.96 9.34
Q2 2021 911.17 0.75 0.73 9.26
Q3 2021 911.17 0.57 0.57 9.25
Q4 2021 911.17 0.24 0.71 8.87
Q1 2022 911.17 0.37 0.83 8.98
Q2 2022 911.17 0.39 0.85 9.06
Q3 2022 911.17 0.43 0.90 9.22
Q4 2022 911.17 0.82 0.70 9.06
Q1 2023 911.17 0.95 0.79 9.32
Q2 2023 911.17 0.86 0.70 9.00
Q3 2023 911.17 0.84 0.68 9.12
Q4 2023 911.17 0.99 0.82 9.28
Q1 2024 911.17 0.94 0.82 9.30
Q2 2024 911.17 0.94 0.82 9.46
Q3 2024 1,133.98 0.79 0.69 12.99

Multiple Ratios (End of Period Price)

Compared With The
Period P/E Adjusted P/E Price/book
Q1 2015 21.45 26.67 4.50
Q2 2015 22.32 27.39 4.35
Q3 2015 22.54 25.16 3.75
Q4 2015 18.65 24.57 3.17
Q1 2016 19.27 20.66 2.82
Q2 2016 19.25 20.13 2.45
Q3 2016 19.86 20.76 2.15
Q4 2016 NEG 68.97 3.25
Q1 2017 NEG More than 100 3.34
Q2 2017 NEG More than 100 3.98
Q3 2017 More than 100 NEG 3.30
Q4 2017 25.61 55.89 2.97
Q1 2018 31.40 74.80 3.42
Q2 2018 29.22 66.48 3.02
Q3 2018 NEG More than 100 2.63
Q4 2018 NEG NEG 2.50
Q1 2019 NEG NEG 2.91
Q2 2019 NEG NEG 2.99
Q3 2019 NEG More than 100 2.75
Q4 2019 48.03 67.72 3.01
Q1 2020 36.98 43.45 3.12
Q2 2020 29.74 32.81 3.63
Q3 2020 31.82 34.87 3.91
Q4 2020 31.03 31.77 3.43
Q1 2021 29.31 30.01 3.07
Q2 2021 42.06 43.40 3.40
Q3 2021 47.87 47.87 2.96
Q4 2021 95.77 33.01 2.63
Q1 2022 71.52 31.86 2.96
Q2 2022 63.36 28.85 2.71
Q3 2022 47.87 23.11 2.24
Q4 2022 24.58 28.72 2.21
Q1 2023 21.50 25.97 2.19
Q2 2023 35.38 43.69 3.38
Q3 2023 31.28 38.81 2.89
Q4 2023 27.70 33.42 2.95
Q1 2024 43.79 50.39 4.42
Q2 2024 35.36 40.68 3.52
Q3 2024 34.32 39.25 2.08

Business Segments (Million)

Compared With The
Period Food sector Retail sector Food services Frozen food Investments Plastic Manufacturing & Whole sale sector Disposals
Q1 2015 3,086.66 3,192.49 - - 14.69 - - (70.13)
Q2 2015 3,369.06 3,781.59 - - 14.69 - - (128.85)
Q3 2015 2,553.93 3,091.95 - - 14.69 - - (57.01)
Q4 2015 2,802.55 3,466.70 - - 100.78 - - (108.20)
Q1 2016 2,924.81 3,271.22 283.55 - 13.75 - - (71.58)
Q2 2016 3,102.65 3,873.85 277.73 - 13.75 - - (127.20)
Q3 2016 2,717.25 3,174.73 315.17 - 13.75 - - (66.58)
Q4 2016 3,142.01 3,252.58 280.23 - 96.36 - - (157.23)
Q1 2017 2,954.09 2,674.10 275.01 - 11.54 - - (127.83)
Q2 2017 3,145.94 3,331.50 272.10 - 11.61 - - (107.89)
Q3 2017 2,698.83 2,653.43 311.72 - 11.61 - - (79.82)
Q4 2017 2,585.35 2,984.00 298.96 - 10.58 - - (84.36)
Q1 2018 2,571.71 2,377.14 286.30 - 11.41 - - (138.57)
Q2 2018 2,692.86 3,230.09 293.13 - 11.40 - - (79.90)
Q3 2018 2,309.97 2,643.85 322.65 - 11.29 - - (75.71)
Q4 2018 2,160.94 2,866.52 325.20 94.11 12.94 - - (112.73)
Q1 2019 2,408.41 2,670.53 313.40 128.90 10.99 - - (144.35)
Q2 2019 2,349.92 2,867.97 309.30 181.73 10.35 - - (80.60)
Q3 2019 2,184.53 2,559.15 339.08 142.48 10.60 - - (87.71)
Q4 2019 2,266.36 2,562.11 326.52 166.94 11.66 - - (101.86)
Q1 2020 2,475.72 3,098.78 296.93 191.76 10.80 - - (151.10)
Q2 2020 2,229.61 3,463.04 170.10 211.24 8.48 - - (75.40)
Q3 2020 1,652.91 2,526.87 311.12 180.67 9.24 - - (93.53)
Q4 2020 2,285.32 2,524.62 297.94 153.13 7.55 - - (83.84)
Q1 2021 2,905.73 2,719.56 310.10 174.98 7.17 - - (163.97)
Q2 2021 2,645.54 2,843.25 322.02 158.60 7.44 - - (75.90)
Q3 2021 3,094.32 2,532.15 352.59 148.94 6.69 - - (75.30)
Q4 2021 3,984.53 2,381.16 329.15 160.43 6.25 - - (106.26)
Q1 2022 4,327.59 2,805.63 328.20 184.38 7.38 - - (163.83)
Q2 2022 4,068.96 2,430.77 291.61 165.13 6.49 - - (74.66)
Q3 2022 4,300.08 2,407.17 309.52 153.25 6.59 - - (104.20)
Q4 2022 3,744.17 2,470.44 314.51 167.25 6.88 - - (98.60)
Q1 2023 4,397.97 3,117.87 275.13 211.43 9.02 - - (196.93)
Q2 2023 3,397.45 2,297.86 288.22 164.48 6.62 - - (61.35)
Q3 2023 3,516.30 2,479.27 313.04 161.19 7.05 - - (125.95)
Q4 2023 3,753.61 2,436.38 297.31 176.97 6.86 - - (111.50)
Q1 2024 4,251.30 3,217.66 289.04 230.21 8.44 - - (214.79)
Q2 2024 2,667.04 2,299.13 301.12 169.07 6.16 - - (67.55)
Q3 2024 3,147.31 2,541.00 278.65 164.34 6.84 - - (77.31)

Analysts Estimates (Million)

Item Q3 2024 (e) Q3 2024 (a) Change‬
Average 211.36 181.02 (14.4 %)

Estimates vs Actual (Million)

Item Q3 2024 (e) Q3 2024 (a) Change
Hermes 181.00 181.02 0.0 %
SNB Capital 154.00 181.02 17.5 %
Goldman Sachs 226.80 181.02 (20.2) %
Al Rajhi Capital 233.00 181.02 (22.3) %
YAQEEN 262.00 181.02 (30.9) %

Current
Market Cap (M Riyal) 27,510.35
Enterprise Value (EV) (M) 28,742.45
Shares Outstanding ((M)) 1,133.98
EPS ( Riyal) (TTM) 0.79
Book Value (BV) ( Riyal) 12.99
Par Value ( Riyal) 10.00
Adjusted P/E (Last12) 35.27
P/E (TTM) 30.84
Price/book 1.87
Return on Average Assets (%) (TTM) 2.8
Return on Average Equity (%) (TTM) 7.7

Share Price

24.26
(0.32) (1.30 %)

Savola Group (SAVOLA GROUP)


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